中国省域离婚率的空间异质性分析

发布时间：2018-04-11 08:36

本文选题：离婚率 + 空间格局　；参考：《地理科学进展》2017年10期

【摘要】：婚姻是人口再生产必要的社会关系,维系着社会的安定和谐,而离婚的空间特征是社会地理学关注的重要问题,本文以2005-2014年间中国大陆31个省(市、区)离婚率变化为数据源,结合传统数理分析和空间计量分析方法探究其空间依赖性与空间异质性特征。结果表明:(1)2005-2014年间地区间离婚差异不断缩小,离婚水平空间分布呈现出北高南低的分异态势;(2)地区间离婚显著的空间溢出效应是由地理邻近和网络社会空间共同作用的结果,而地区间离婚现象的高低分异与特定地理的社会经济及文化等因素有关;(3)城市化水平、经济发展水平、受教育程度、互联网普及率的提高及家庭规模的增加对离婚起到显著的影响;失业率的增加及城乡收入的加大对离婚起到正向影响,但不显著;全球化、性别比的增加、家庭负担对离婚的影响为负,但未通过显著性检验。
[Abstract]:Marriage is the necessary social relationship for reproduction of population and maintains social stability and harmony. The spatial characteristics of divorce are important issues of social geography. This paper takes the change of divorce rate in 31 provinces (municipalities and districts) in mainland China between 2005 and 2014 as the data source.Combined with traditional mathematical analysis and spatial econometric analysis, the spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity of spatial dependence are explored.The results showed that the difference of divorce between different regions was shrinking from 2005 to 2014, and the spatial distribution of divorce level showed a trend of differentiation between north, south and south. The significant spatial spillover effect of divorce between different regions was the result of the joint effect of geographical proximity and cyber-social space.The difference of divorce between regions is related to the social, economic and cultural factors of a particular geographical area. (3) the level of urbanization, the level of economic development, the level of education, etc.The increase in Internet penetration and family size has had a significant impact on divorce; the increase in unemployment and income in urban and rural areas has had a positive, but not significant, effect on divorce; globalization, the increase in the sex ratio,The impact of family burden on divorce was negative, but it failed to pass the significance test.
【作者单位】：南京师范大学地理科学学院;江苏省地理信息资源开发与利用协同创新中心;中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41671155)~~
【分类号】：D669.1

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