双层博弈理论视阈下特朗普政府的朝核政策

发布时间：2018-06-02 20:17

本文选题：美国军事与外交 + 朝核政策　；参考：《美国研究》2017年06期

【摘要】：美国的朝核政策是决策者在国际层面博弈和国内层面博弈,以及这两个层面相互博弈的产物。特朗普政府朝核政策的主要特点包括:对朝鲜实行"最大限度施压"政策和"所有牌都摊在桌上"威慑战略,并未完全关闭与朝鲜谈判的大门,以及要求中国对解决朝核问题发挥最大影响力。特朗普总统主导政府朝核政策的决策,但其主要顾问起着一定的纠偏和危机时劝阻作用。美国国会一部分议员反对特朗普政府对朝进行先发制人打击,也有一些议员主张通过对华施压来迫使中国向朝鲜施加最大压力和美国在韩国重新部署战术核武器。
[Abstract]:The North Korean nuclear policy of the United States is the result of the game between the decision-makers at the international level and the domestic level, and the game between the two levels. The main features of the Trump administration's North Korean nuclear policy include the "maximum pressure" policy on North Korea and the "all cards on the table" deterrence strategy, which has not completely closed the door to negotiations with North Korea. And asking China to exert its greatest influence in resolving the North Korean nuclear issue. President Trump dominates the administration's nuclear policy decisions, but its chief advisers play a role in correcting and dissuading crises. Some members of the U.S. Congress oppose the Trump administration's pre-emptive strike against North Korea, while others advocate using pressure on China to force China to exert maximum pressure on North Korea and the United States to redeploy tactical nuclear weapons in South Korea.
【作者单位】：同济大学国际与公共事务研究院;
【基金】：笔者主持的中国海洋发展研究会“美国在亚太地区海权联盟体系研究”(项目编号:CAMAZD201608)的中期成果之一国家社科基金重点项目“构建新型大国关系的理论建构与方略选择”(项目批准号:14AZD060);国家社科基金重大课题:“习近平治国理念之外交战略思想研究”(15ZDC002)资助
【分类号】：D815.2;D871.2

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