基于敌友情感曲线的国际秩序演变逻辑分析

发布时间：2018-06-17 10:28

本文选题：国际秩序 + 敌友界分　；参考：《中共广东省委党校》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：国际秩序是一种确定性行为的集合,也是一种以行为模式为内容的公共产品,供给国与需求国的互动和契合就决定了国际秩序的演变,而敌友情感曲线及敌友界分就是在叙述供给国和需求国的效用偏好,所谓行为显示偏好。而效用偏好的结构就通过行为显示决定了国际秩序的结构。敌友划分并不是固定的,而是依据事件的发生而改变,但是敌友在概念上的界分是固定的。情感就是敌友界分的标志和基础。首先在于情感显现敌友界分,其次在于情感在根本性质上界分敌友关系,最后在于情感容纳现实利益和决策过程。另外,情感体现在行为上就是一种意志和判断,情感是判断,进而就是方向,进而就是权力,进而就是秩序。从微观的敌友区分经由外交战略和行动演绎为宏观上的国际秩序,可以通过情感、合作以及时间三个变量组成的坐标系及其衍生的敌对和友好曲线的挪移来描述这一过程。相继勾画出了敌友生成图、敌友区分图、敌友曲线图、国家实力图、外交行动弹性图、理想交点轨迹图、国际秩序演变图和国际秩序类型图,通过上述的图示来呈现国际秩序演变的逻辑,具体如下:敌友生成图叙述敌友生成,是敌友区分图的基础;敌友区分图确立划分标准和类型,以及其意味的行为倾向,即意志;敌友曲线图叙述以事件发生为驱动的动态划分过程,其时间截面呈现于敌友区分图,其曲线移动依据外交行动弹性图和国家实力图;国家实力图确定行为的力量,由敌友区分图的结果具体计算;外交行动弹性图叙述一些行为的逻辑;理想交点轨迹图建立在敌友曲线图基础上,叙述国家间关系的理想轨迹;国际秩序演变图表示由敌友区分图、国家实力图和外交行动弹性图确定的行为和意志,及由此衍生出的行为结构。国际秩序类型图是国际秩序演变图演变结果的不同类型。
[Abstract]:The international order is a collection of deterministic acts and a kind of public goods based on the behavior mode. The interaction and agreement between the supply and demand countries determines the evolution of the international order. The affective curve of the enemy and friend and the boundary of the friend and the enemy describe the utility preference of the supply country and the demand country, and the so-called behavior shows preference. The structure of utility preference determines the structure of the international order through behavior. The division of the enemy and friend is not fixed, but changes according to the event, but the conceptual boundary of the enemy and friend is fixed. Emotion is the mark and foundation of the division of friends and enemies. The first one is that the emotion shows the boundary of the enemy and friend, the second is that the emotion divides the relationship between the enemy and the friend in the fundamental nature, and the last is that the emotion accommodates the realistic interests and the decision-making process. In addition, emotion is a kind of will and judgment in behavior, emotion is judgment, then direction, power, and order. This process can be described by the coordinate system composed of three variables, emotion, cooperation and time, and the shift of hostile and friendly curves derived from the microcosmic distinction between enemies and friends through diplomatic strategy and action. One after another has drawn up a map of the generation of friends and enemies, a map of distinguishing enemies and friends, a graph of curves of enemy and friend, a map of national strength, a map of elasticity of diplomatic action, a map of the track of ideal points of intersection, a map of the evolution of international order and a map of the type of international order. The logic of the evolution of the international order is presented through the above diagrams, which are as follows: the generation of enemies and friends, which is the basis of the drawing of friends and enemies, the establishment of criteria and types of division of friends and enemies, as well as the tendency of behavior, that is, the will of the enemy and friends; The curve of the enemy and friend describes the dynamic division process driven by the occurrence of the event. The time section of the curve is presented in the distinguishing diagram of the enemy and the friend, and the curve is moved according to the diplomatic action elastic chart and the national strength chart; the national strength map determines the force of the behavior, The results of the distinguishing diagram of friends and enemies are calculated concretely, the logic of some behaviors are described in the elastic diagram of diplomatic action, the ideal intersection locus is established on the basis of the graph of enemy and friend, and the ideal track of inter-state relations is described. The chart of the evolution of the international order shows the behavior and will determined by the distinguishing diagram of enemies and friends, the map of national strength and the diagram of diplomatic action elasticity, and the resulting behavior structure. The type map of international order is the result of evolution of international order.
【学位授予单位】：中共广东省委党校
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：D81

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