联合国对朝制裁的效果及其制约因素

发布时间：2018-07-06 16:52

  本文选题：朝核问题 + 联合国安理会决议　； 参考：《现代国际关系》2017年05期

【摘要】：朝鲜不顾国际社会的反对从2006年到2016年先后进行了五次核试验。联合国安理会为阻止朝鲜核开发多次出台对朝制裁决议。各国对制裁决议的执行使朝鲜的政府财政、经济增长率、贸易与投资等都大幅缩减,但并未因此改变朝鲜的拥核决心与核、导发展计划。联合国对朝制裁远未达到迫使朝鲜弃核的目的,制裁效果受制于下列诸多因素,如朝鲜经济具有抗打击与修复能力,政府善于利用制裁加强内部团结,地下经济活跃,绕开制裁的能力不断加强,对外经济萎缩,制裁方企业因为逐利而致"自律缺失",主要相关方对朝核问题及其解决方案的认识分歧等。国际社会相关各方应认清制裁的效力与前景,将制裁、威慑与"伸手外交"结合起来,才有可能打破朝鲜核导试验导致联合国对其制裁、制裁又使其变本加厉地推进核导试验的螺旋式恶性循环。
[Abstract]:North Korea conducted five nuclear tests between 2006 and 2016, despite international opposition. The UN Security Council has repeatedly issued sanctions against North Korea to prevent nuclear development. The implementation of sanctions resolutions has greatly reduced North Korea's government finances, economic growth rates, trade and investment, but has not changed North Korea's nuclear resolve and nuclear development plan. The United Nations sanctions against the DPRK are far from achieving the goal of forcing the DPRK to abandon its nuclear weapons. The effect of the sanctions is limited by the following factors: the DPRK economy has the ability to resist attack and repair, the government is good at using sanctions to strengthen internal unity and the underground economy is active. The ability of circumventing sanctions has been strengthened constantly, the foreign economy has shrunk, the enterprises of the sanction side have caused "lack of self-discipline" because of profit-seeking, and the main parties concerned have different views on the North Korean nuclear issue and its solution. The relevant parties in the international community should clearly recognize the effectiveness and prospects of sanctions and combine sanctions, deterrence and "hand diplomacy" to make it possible to break the UN sanctions imposed on it as a result of the DPRK nuclear missile test. Sanctions add to the vicious spiral of nuclear testing.
【作者单位】： 上海社会科学院国际关系研究所;
【基金】：本人主持的国家社科基金一般项目“构建对韩战略支点关系与美韩同盟制约因素分析”(15BGJ056)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：D813.2;E312.6
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本文编号：2103483