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非对称双边同盟中的非主导国调整同盟内部关系的动因探析

发布时间:2018-09-01 18:20
【摘要】:在非对称同盟中,由于成员国之间实力的差异,主导国对同盟的影响通常更加明显。但是,大量的国际政治现实表明,同盟内部关系的变化也与非主导国密不可分。通过对同盟内部关系的不同调整,非主导国会对主导国采取紧密追随、保持中立和主动疏远三种策略。本文试图去非对称同盟主要是双边同盟中,非主导国为什么会对同盟的内部关系做出调整,这些调整结果是否具有差异性以及造成这种差异的原因等问题。 本文采用理论与案例相结合的研究方法,认为影响同盟内部关系调整的原因主要有三个:结构变化、安全平衡和同盟承诺。结构的变化会影响同盟内外环境的变化,包括同盟成员所面临的安全环境的变化。而由于非主导国存在安全-自主的交易,它对安全威胁十分敏感,安全风险的变化对非主导国来说至关重要。除此之外,当非主导国面临安全威胁时,来自同盟的支持和承诺也会产生影响。在这三种因素的影响下,非主导国会对同盟内部关系进行调整,而这种调整所导致的结果也是不同的。而本文选取了“再平衡”战略背景下的美菲同盟和美泰同盟作为研究案例,认为结构的变化引起了菲律宾和泰国两国对安全风险的不同认识。此外,美国在亚太地区的表态和承诺也对两国产生了不同的影响。菲律宾采取了对美国紧密追随的策略,而泰国则保持了相对中立的态度。
[Abstract]:In asymmetric alliances, the influence of the dominant countries on the alliance is usually more pronounced due to the differences of power among member countries. However, a large number of international political realities show that the changes in the alliance's internal relations are also inextricably linked to non-dominant countries. Through different adjustments to the relations within the alliance, the non-dominant countries will follow closely, remain neutral and actively alienate the leading countries. In this paper, we try to explain why non-dominant countries adjust the internal relations of asymmetric alliances, whether the results of these adjustments are different and the reasons for these differences. This paper adopts the research method of combining theory with case, and points out that there are three main reasons that influence the adjustment of alliance internal relations: structural change, security balance and alliance commitment. The change of structure will influence the change of the environment inside and outside the alliance, including the change of the security environment faced by the members of the alliance. Due to the existence of security-independent transactions in non-dominant countries, it is sensitive to security threats, and changes in security risks are crucial to non-dominant countries. In addition, support and commitment from allies can also have an impact when non-dominant countries face security threats. Under the influence of these three factors, the non-dominant countries will adjust the internal relations of the alliance, and the results of this adjustment will be different. In this paper, the US-Philippines alliance and the US-Thai alliance under the background of "rebalancing" strategy are selected as a case study, and it is concluded that the change of structure has led to different understandings of security risks between the Philippines and Thailand. In addition, the position and commitment of the United States in the Asia-Pacific region have had different effects on the two countries. The Philippines followed the US closely, while Thailand remained relatively neutral.
【学位授予单位】:北京外国语大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:D814.1

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