试析中东地区主义的困境与前景

发布时间：2018-10-25 11:27

【摘要】：中东在地理上包括西亚和北非两大板块,虽然幅员广阔,但各次地区和各个国家在地理上紧密相连、文化上高度相似、安全上深度相互影响。是故,中东地区主义是指能够涵盖中东主要大国或是主体民族的地区合作和协调的理念、方式和机制。尽管以阿盟和海合会为代表的地区组织在自身发展方面已经比较成熟,但并没有通过辐射的方式提升至全域性地区主义的层次。中东地区主义发展滞后的原因极其复杂,既有内部因素,也有外部制约。内因是事物发展的决定性因素,中东地区国家之间经济上的相互依赖仍将处于较低的水平,历史和宗教矛盾仍将长期存在,地区大国地区事务主导权之争使该地区出现政治碎片化现象。中东地区主义发展仍将面临曲折的前景。管控政治安全领域内分歧有着现实紧迫性,政治安全领域内的地区主义既面临挑战,也面临重要机遇;相反,由于经济上相互之间的依赖度仍然处于较低的水平,经济上的地区主义仍然缺乏足够的动力。
[Abstract]:The Middle East includes West Asia and North Africa geographically. Although the Middle East is vast, the regions and countries are geographically closely linked, culturally highly similar, and deeply influenced by security. Therefore, Middle East regionalism refers to the concept, mode and mechanism of regional cooperation and coordination that can cover the major powers or peoples in the Middle East. Although the regional organizations represented by the Arab League and the GCC are mature in their own development, they have not been raised to the level of regional regionalism by means of radiation. The reasons for the lagging of Middle East regionalism are very complicated, both internal factors and external constraints. The internal cause is the decisive factor in the development of things, the economic interdependence among the countries in the Middle East region will remain at a relatively low level, and historical and religious contradictions will continue to exist for a long time. The political fragmentation in the region is caused by the dispute over the leading power of regional affairs. The development of Middle East regionalism will still face the prospect of twists and turns. There is a real urgency to manage differences in the field of political security, where regionalism faces challenges as well as important opportunities; on the contrary, because of the low level of economic interdependence, Economic regionalism still lacks sufficient impetus.
【作者单位】：上海国际问题研究院西亚非洲中心;
【分类号】：D737

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