“特朗普冲击”下的日本战略因应与中日关系
发布时间：2018-11-02 14:36
【摘要】：特朗普上台前后,日本一度在心理上受到不亚于"尼克松冲击"的影响。日本的担心集中在全球体系秩序、亚太地缘政治、中日双边争端三大领域会否发生对己不利的变动上。这大体可归因为新时期安倍政府的"中国心结"。作为对策,日本在稳住同盟、维护秩序、拓宽外交、加强军事方面采取了主动措施。此类举措及背后的忧患意识近年已显,"特朗普冲击"起到了催化作用。冲击给日本及日美关系带来多方影响,短期内两者不免受到"责权利"等因素的困扰,中长期则利于日本加速迈向政军大国,助推同盟深化尤其是军事安全关系提升。受冲击影响,中日经贸关系或出现一些间接利好因素,但更明显的应是中国周边环境将出现更多的日本身影以及同盟强化与日本自强同时快进的复杂局面。中国对此宜长短结合、多向操作、综合施策,及早做好相应研判与准备。
[Abstract]:Before and after Trump took office, Japan was once psychologically influenced by Nixon's shock. Japan's concerns focus on whether there will be adverse changes in the global system order, Asia-Pacific geopolitics, and bilateral disputes between China and Japan. This can largely be attributed to the "Chinese knot" of Abe's government in the new era. As a countermeasure, Japan took active measures to stabilize the alliance, maintain order, broaden diplomacy and strengthen military affairs. Such moves and the sense of concern behind them have become apparent in recent years, and the Trump shock has served as a catalyst. The impact on Japan and its relations with the United States has brought many influences. In the short term, the two countries will inevitably be troubled by such factors as "responsibility and right". In the medium and long term, it will be conducive for Japan to speed up its transition to a large political and military power, and to promote the deepening of alliances, especially the promotion of military security relations. Affected by the impact, there may be some indirect positive factors in Sino-Japanese economic and trade relations, but it should be more obvious that there will be more Japanese figures in China's surrounding environment and a complex situation of alliance strengthening and Japan's self-strengthening at the same time. China should combine long and short, multi-directional operation, comprehensive strategy, early study and preparation.
【作者单位】： 中国社会科学院日本研究所;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“未来十年中国打造战略支点国家的理论分析与策略研究”(编号:14ZDA086)子课题
【分类号】：D822.331.3
本文编号：2306080
[Abstract]:Before and after Trump took office, Japan was once psychologically influenced by Nixon's shock. Japan's concerns focus on whether there will be adverse changes in the global system order, Asia-Pacific geopolitics, and bilateral disputes between China and Japan. This can largely be attributed to the "Chinese knot" of Abe's government in the new era. As a countermeasure, Japan took active measures to stabilize the alliance, maintain order, broaden diplomacy and strengthen military affairs. Such moves and the sense of concern behind them have become apparent in recent years, and the Trump shock has served as a catalyst. The impact on Japan and its relations with the United States has brought many influences. In the short term, the two countries will inevitably be troubled by such factors as "responsibility and right". In the medium and long term, it will be conducive for Japan to speed up its transition to a large political and military power, and to promote the deepening of alliances, especially the promotion of military security relations. Affected by the impact, there may be some indirect positive factors in Sino-Japanese economic and trade relations, but it should be more obvious that there will be more Japanese figures in China's surrounding environment and a complex situation of alliance strengthening and Japan's self-strengthening at the same time. China should combine long and short, multi-directional operation, comprehensive strategy, early study and preparation.
【作者单位】： 中国社会科学院日本研究所;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“未来十年中国打造战略支点国家的理论分析与策略研究”(编号:14ZDA086)子课题
【分类号】：D822.331.3
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