中亚和外高加索地区形势的演变及其走向

发布时间：2018-12-31 19:04

【摘要】：中亚和外高加索国家的独立及其发展牵动着欧亚地区形势和格局的演变,对欧亚大陆局势的走向具有日益重要的作用。独立以来,该地区国家经历了独立之初的剧烈震荡,逐渐走向平稳发展,正进入一个复杂多变时期。各国都在根据本国现实积极探索符合自身国情的发展道路,地区局势将朝着政治民主化、经济区域化和安全复杂化的方向演进。大国势力经过激烈博弈正进入相持阶段,各方力量趋于基本均衡,未来地区格局将朝着多极化方向发展。中亚外高地区稳定仍存在诸多变数,但和平与发展始终是大势所趋。
[Abstract]:The independence and development of the countries in Central Asia and Transcaucasia affect the evolution of the situation and pattern in Eurasia and play an increasingly important role in the trend of the situation in Eurasia. Since independence, the countries in the region have experienced violent shocks at the beginning of independence, and are entering a complex and changeable period. All countries are actively exploring the road of development in accordance with their own national conditions according to their own reality, and the regional situation will evolve towards the direction of political democratization, economic regionalization and complication of security. After a fierce game, the great powers are entering the phase of stalemate, the forces of all sides tend to be basically balanced, and the regional pattern will develop towards the direction of multi-polarization in the future. There are still many variables in the stability of the region outside Central Asia, but peace and development have always been the trend of the times.
【作者单位】：中国国际问题研究院;
【分类号】：D736

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