卡梅伦政府“脱欧公投”研究

发布时间：2019-01-08 09:24

【摘要】：英国受欧债危机的影响,经济恢复缓慢。在此背景下,英国于2016年举行了全民的“脱欧公投”,但政府在“脱欧公投”中逐渐失去了对结果的把控,投票结果最终朝向与政府相反的预期发展,作者主要研究英国“脱欧公投”以及卡梅伦政府为何会在“脱欧公投”中失利。据此,作者运用文献研究法、马克思辩证唯物主义和历史唯物主义相结合的方法,详细地梳理了卡梅伦政府推动“脱欧公投”的过程,从对“脱欧公投”持否定态度到对其持支持并推动态度的转变。并从政治、经济、社会稳定和外交等因素方面考察并细致的分析了促成卡梅伦政府“脱欧公投”的原因。作者从政党因素、政府因素和社会因素三大方面解释了卡梅伦政府“脱欧公投”的失利,剖析了英国政府制定的国内政策很大程度上与广大中低收入民众的利益相违背,正是由于政府在国内政策方面的失误导致了卡梅伦政府的“脱欧公投”没有达到政治预期。其中具体说明:保守党党内的分歧大大限制了卡梅伦政府集中党内力量办大事的可能性,在与以独立党为代表的“脱欧派”争取选民工作对比中处于劣势。重点阐释了政府公共部门债务呈扩大态势、英国的主权评价下降等经济方面对“脱欧公投”的影响,分析了政府在社会公共服务和应对贫困与社会问题方面存在的问题。作者通过剖析卡梅伦政府“脱欧公投”的失利因素,进而分析了公投的现实影响以及英国“脱欧”的前景。英国新任首相特蕾莎·梅于2017年3月29日向欧盟递交了“脱欧”申请。“脱欧公投”的结果不仅会给英国国内政治、经济带来现实的影响,同时也会影响国际政治的走向。英国与欧盟将会开展长达两年的脱欧谈判,双方都会为了各自利益争取更多的“离婚财产”。理性来看,英国与欧盟的关系可能未来一段时间内可能会走低;长远来看,英欧双方都开始务实且采取“双赢”合作政策,毕竟利益是永恒的。
[Abstract]:Britain is affected by the European debt crisis, the economic recovery is slow. Against this backdrop, Britain held a referendum on Brexit in 2016, but the government gradually lost control of the result in the referendum, which eventually turned out to be the opposite of the government's expectations. The author focuses on the Brexit referendum and why Cameron's government lost the Brexit referendum. Based on this, the author makes use of the method of literature research, the combination of Marxist dialectical materialism and historical materialism, and combs in detail the process of the Cameron government promoting the "referendum on Brexit". From a negative attitude towards the Brexit referendum to a change in support and promotion. And from the political, economic, social stability and diplomacy and other factors to examine and carefully analyze the reasons for the Cameron government's "Brexit referendum." The author explains the failure of the Cameron government's "Brexit referendum" from three aspects: political party factor, government factor and social factor, and analyzes that the domestic policy made by the British government is contrary to the interests of the majority of low- and middle-income people to a great extent. It was the government's domestic policy blunders that led to Mr Cameron's "Brexit referendum" falling short of political expectations. Specifically, differences within the Conservative Party have greatly limited the possibility of Cameron's government concentrating on the party to do big things, and are at a disadvantage compared with the work of the "Brexit" campaign for voters represented by the Independence Party. This paper mainly explains the influence of the government's public sector debt on the Brexit referendum, and analyzes the problems existing in the government's social public service and dealing with the poverty and social problems, such as the decline of Britain's sovereignty evaluation and other economic aspects of the "Brexit referendum". By analyzing the failure of the Cameron government's "Brexit referendum", the author analyzes the realistic impact of the referendum and the prospect of Britain's "Brexit". Britain's new prime minister, Theresa May, applied to leave the EU on March 29, 2017. The result of the "Brexit referendum" will not only have a realistic impact on British domestic politics and economy, but also affect the direction of international politics. Britain and the EU are set to enter into two years of Brexit talks, with both sides fighting for more "divorce assets" in their own interests. Rationally, Britain's relationship with the EU is likely to decline for some time to come; in the long run, both sides are pragmatic and adopt a "win-win" co-operative policy, after all, the benefits are permanent.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：D856.1

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