菲律宾与俄罗斯双边关系的发展及中国的应对

发布时间：2019-01-11 11:08

【摘要】：2016年以来,菲律宾与俄罗斯的关系迅速拉近,双方释放的合作意愿不只限于军事、能源等领域,还涉及共同构建新的世界"一极"。虽然基于历史基础、地缘政治、经济结构等因素判断,菲俄合作水平在中短期内不会提升太快,构建新的国际联盟或力量"一极"也为时尚早,但是由于亚太秩序正处于变化与调整中,菲律宾与俄罗斯的相互接近具有一定的外溢效应,为考察与评估亚太安全格局的未来走向提供了一个新视角。菲俄拉近双边关系对中国的影响具有两面性,一方面菲俄合作具有平衡中国的潜在意图,另一方面,在短期内,中俄菲三方具有更广泛的利益共识。因此,中国应发挥自身地缘优势,利用新的合作机制与地区倡议,加强中俄、中菲的双边合作与中俄菲在地区多边对话中的协调,这是本文研究的政策含义所在。
[Abstract]:Relations between the Philippines and Russia have narrowed rapidly since 2016, with the release of a willingness to cooperate not only in military, energy and other areas, but also in building a new "one pole" of the world. Although judging from historical basis, geopolitics, economic structure and other factors, the level of cooperation between the Philippines and Russia will not increase too quickly in the short and medium term, and it is still too early to build a new international alliance or "one pole" of power. However, because the Asia-Pacific order is in the process of change and adjustment, the proximity between the Philippines and Russia has a certain spillover effect, which provides a new perspective for investigating and evaluating the future trend of Asia-Pacific security pattern. On the one hand, the cooperation between the Philippines and Russia has the potential intention of balancing China, on the other hand, in the short term, the three sides of China, Russia and the Philippines have a broader consensus of interests. Therefore, China should make full use of its geographical advantages and make use of the new cooperation mechanism and regional initiatives to strengthen the coordination of bilateral cooperation between China and Russia and between China and the Philippines in the regional multilateral dialogue, which is the policy implication of this paper.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院;中国社会科学院地区安全研究中心;
【分类号】：D822.3;D834.1;D851.2

【相似文献】