当前中亚宗教极端势力特点及发展趋势

发布时间：2018-05-17 07:53

本文选题：中亚宗教极端势力 + 中亚安全　；参考：《新疆师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2014年01期

【摘要】：当前中亚宗教极端势力总体呈上升趋势,内生性、政治化倾向明显,宗教极端思想扩散比较突出,但仍未构成地区安全的主要威胁。中亚宗教极端势力形势变化的主因由内因主导变为内因外因共同作用,主要是阿富汗局势、中亚政局变化、中亚国家社会矛盾、西亚北非动荡的影响。未来中亚宗教极端势力活动会随内外形势变化再度达到高值,包括极端思想泛滥、恐怖袭击增多,中亚进入意识形态危机期。中亚宗教极端势力将可能在人员往来、极端思想等方面对我国新疆安全产生不良影响,新疆对中亚的恐怖主义外溢效应也会更加明显。萨拉菲极端思想可能会经中亚进入新疆,与原有极端思想相结合,衍生出新的极端思想。
[Abstract]:At present, the religious extremist forces in Central Asia are on the whole on the rise, endogenously and politicized, and the spread of religious extremist thoughts is more prominent, but still does not constitute the main threat to regional security. The main cause of the change of religious extremist forces in Central Asia is from internal to external, mainly the situation in Afghanistan, the change of political situation in Central Asia, the social contradictions in Central Asian countries and the influence of instability in West Asia and North Africa. In the future, the activities of religious extremist forces in Central Asia will again reach a high value with the changes of internal and external situation, including the spread of extremist thoughts, the increase of terrorist attacks, and the entering of an ideological crisis in Central Asia. The religious extremist forces in Central Asia may have a negative impact on the security of Xinjiang in terms of personnel exchanges and extreme thoughts, and the spillover effect of Xinjiang terrorism on Central Asia will be more obvious. Salafite extreme thought may enter Xinjiang through Central Asia, combine with original extreme thought, and derive new extreme thought.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所;
【基金】：中国社会科学院重大项目“中亚民族传统社会结构与传统文化研究”(YZDA2010-24)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：D737

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