“二孩政策”与学区房溢价——基于人口政策变化的政策评价分析

发布时间：2018-02-24 01:31

本文关键词： “二孩政策” 学区房双重差分模型固定边界法　出处：《财经研究》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：我国人口生育政策的调整是政府在我国经济进入中高速发展阶段之后做出的重大决策,对社会经济各个方面会产生重要影响。文章着眼于政策调整、家庭规划和政府公共产品需求,以上海市住房数据为基础,分析了我国"二孩政策"对现阶段学区房价格的影响。文章以特征回归模型为基础,讨论了人口政策变化对学区房价格的影响。研究发现,在人口新政出台后,与临近的普通住房相比,学区房的相对溢价程度更高。文章进一步采用固定边界法,发现优质学区房的溢价涨幅(约为8.6%-11.8%)高于普通学区房(约为2.49%-3.97%),充分说明在人口政策调整后,我国部分家庭对优质教育更加渴望。文章采用匹配回归进行了稳健性检验,仍支持上述研究结论。
[Abstract]:The adjustment of China's population and fertility policy is a major decision made by the government after our country's economy enters the stage of high speed development, which will have an important impact on all aspects of social economy. Based on the housing data of Shanghai, this paper analyzes the influence of "two-child policy" on the housing price of school district in China. The paper is based on the characteristic regression model. This paper discusses the effect of the change of population policy on the housing price of the school district. It is found that the relative premium degree of the school district housing is higher than that of the adjacent ordinary housing after the new policy of population comes into being. It is found that the premium increase of high-quality school district housing (about 8.6-11.8m) is higher than that of ordinary school district housing (2.49-3.97m), which fully shows that after the adjustment of population policy, some families in our country are more eager for quality education. It still supports the above conclusion.
【作者单位】：上海财经大学经济学院;上海财经大学金融学院;上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院;
【分类号】：C924.21;F299.23

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