中国农村人口省际流动研究——基于第六次人口普查数据

发布时间：2018-04-08 22:28

本文选题：农村人口　切入点：省际流动　出处：《地理科学》2015年12期

【摘要】：农村人口流动是中国人口流动的主体,对中国的人口空间格局和区域发展产生了重要影响。基于第六次人口普查数据,采用农村人口有效流动率和农村人口流动指数方法,对中国农村人口省际流动进行了研究。研究发现:1建立在农村人口有效流动率基础上的农村人口流动指数既可以表示农村人口流动的方向,也可以表示流动的强度,更可方便地进行区域比较,是研究农村人口流动的科学方法和指标。2农村人口有效流动整体上呈现出由中部地区、西南地区向沿海、沿边流动的总趋势,有效流动率在全局上具有弱相关性,局域上的低-低值聚集区主要分布于鄂、湘、渝、黔、云等地。3农村人口流动指数的正值区主要分布于南部沿海、东部沿海、京津和新疆等地区,负值区主要集中于中部地区和西南地区,由负值区进入正值区的农村人口流动构成了中国农村人口流动的主要方向和路径。4农村人口流动指数与人口总量、流出存量显著负相关,与经济总量、流入存量显著正相关。农村人口流动的实质是农村人口应对人口压力的现实反应,在流动目的地的选择中,流动网络和流动惯性在中国特定的社会背景下具有普遍意义。
[Abstract]:Rural population mobility is the main body of population mobility in China, which has an important impact on the spatial pattern and regional development of China's population.Based on the data of the sixth census, the effective flow rate of rural population and the index method of rural population mobility were used to study the interprovincial mobility of rural population in China.The study found that the index of rural population mobility, based on the effective flow rate of rural population, can not only indicate the direction of rural population flow, but also indicate the intensity of flow, and make regional comparisons more convenient.It is the scientific method and index of studying rural population mobility. 2. Overall, the effective flow of rural population shows a general trend from central region, southwest region to coastal area, and the effective flow rate is weakly correlated with the overall situation.The local low-low value concentration areas are mainly distributed in Hubei, Hunan, Chongqing, Guizhou, Yunyun and other places. 3 the positive areas of rural population flow index are mainly distributed in the southern coastal areas, the eastern coastal areas, Beijing, Tianjin and Xinjiang, etc.The negative value areas are mainly concentrated in the central and southwest regions. The migration of rural population from the negative region to the positive area constitutes the main direction and path of rural population mobility in China. 4. The index of rural population mobility and the total population volume.Outflow stock significantly negative correlation with the total economic volume, inflow stock significantly positive correlation.The essence of rural population mobility is the realistic response of rural population to population pressure. In the choice of mobile destination, mobile network and mobility have universal significance in the specific social background of China.
【作者单位】：河南财经政法大学资源与环境学院;中原经济区"三化"协调发展河南省协同创新中心;河南大学环境与规划学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(41271192;41201177;41201131) 教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(12YJA840006) 河南省哲学社会科学规划项目(2012BSH008)资助
【分类号】：C924.2;F323.6

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