湖南省多地理尺度下的人口“收缩地图”

发布时间：2018-04-13 10:38

本文选题：收缩城市 + 收缩地图　；参考：《地理研究》2017年02期

【摘要】：基于收缩城市理论,在省域、地州市、县市区和乡镇街道尺度下对湖南人口收缩现象进行定量分析。在全省人口增速放缓和劳动力缩减趋势下,湖南未来的"本地城镇化"和"人口回流"将延续或加剧部分边缘地区的人口收缩。当前各地州市发展规划中的人口和用地增长预期过高,未来人口资源和空间资源分布不相匹配。通过比较人口、城镇化和经济增长数据,总结出三种县市人口收缩类型:"中心袭夺型"、"空心衰减型"和"资源枯竭型"。通过绘制乡镇街道尺度的湖南人口"收缩地图",发现人口增长在地级、县级中心城市周边集聚,而其他乡镇收缩明显且集聚显著,县级城市是湖南省人口增长/收缩的损益边缘。建议决策者应当开始认识收缩的问题和机遇,建立"紧缩"适宜的空间开发格局,并利用收缩机遇期,实现城镇减量提质。
[Abstract]:Based on the theory of contractile city, the population contraction phenomenon in Hunan Province is analyzed quantitatively in the scale of provincial, prefectural, county and township streets.Under the trend of slowing population growth and shrinking labor force, Hunan's future "local urbanization" and "population return" will continue or aggravate the population contraction in some marginal areas.The population and land use growth in the current development planning of cities and towns is too high, and the distribution of population resources and space resources does not match in the future.By comparing the data of population, urbanization and economic growth, three types of population contraction in counties and cities are summarized: "central attack and capture", "hollow attenuation" and "resource depletion".By drawing the "shrinking map" of Hunan population on township street scale, it is found that the population growth is gathered around the central cities at the prefectural level and the county level, while the other towns contract obviously and gather significantly.County-level cities are the edge of population growth / contraction in Hunan Province.It is suggested that the decision makers should begin to recognize the problems and opportunities of contraction, establish a suitable space development pattern of "contraction", and make use of the period of contraction opportunities to realize the reduction and quality improvement of towns.
【作者单位】：湖南大学建筑学院城乡规划系;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(51508173) 国家教育部博士点基金项目(20130161120047) 留学回国人员科研启动基金项目(20141685) 中央高校基本业务费
【分类号】：C922

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