中国人口空间分布格局演变与非均衡性测度——基于分县尺度人口普查数据:1990-2010

发布时间：2018-04-20 02:06

本文选题：人口分布 + 空间格局演变　；参考：《南方人口》2017年05期

【摘要】：人口分布不平衡性测度的研究比较鲜见,本文以此切入,一是探讨中国分县尺度人口分布格局演变,二是研究人口分布非均衡性测度与趋势变化。主要结论有:(1)1990-2010年中国分县尺度人口的分布基本格局未发生根本性变化,"胡焕庸线"也具有顽健性;(2)分县尺度人口密度的最高值有下降、最低值有上升的趋势,即两端极值在缩小;如果没有量化的非均衡性测度,这容易误解成中国人口分布的非均衡性在收缩;(3)通过人口分布基尼系数测度人口分布非均衡性,得到中国人口分布基尼系数在1990、2000和2010年分别为0.6971、0.7101和0.7306,人口分布越来越不均衡;(4)中国四大区域人口分布基尼系数排序是西部东北东部中部,且从1990-2010年人口分布基尼系数都是递增,与全国趋势一致;(5)对比1990-2000年和2000-2010年两个时期,中国人口分布基尼系数增长幅度是后期大于前期;分区域来看,四大区域人口分布基尼系数都在增加,但东部和西部增加的幅度在上升,中部和东北增加的幅度在下降。
[Abstract]:There are few studies on the measurement of population distribution imbalance. This paper discusses the evolution of population distribution pattern at county scale in China, and studies the measurement and trend change of disequilibrium in population distribution. The main conclusions are that the basic pattern of population distribution at the county scale in China has not changed fundamentally from 1990 to 2010, and that the population density of the "Hu Huanyong Line" is also robust.) the highest value of population density at the sub-county scale has declined, and the lowest value has the trend of rising. That is, the extreme values at both ends are shrinking; if there is no quantitative disequilibrium measure, it is easy to misunderstand that the disequilibrium of population distribution in China is shrinking.) the population distribution disequilibrium is measured by the Gini coefficient of population distribution. The results show that the Gini coefficient of population distribution in China is 0.6971 (0.7101) and 0.7306 (2010) respectively, and the population distribution is more and more unbalanced. (4) the Gini coefficient of population distribution in the four regions of China is the central part of the eastern and eastern part of western China, and the Gini coefficient of population distribution is increasing from 1990 to 2010. Compared with the two periods of 1990-2000 and 2000-2010, the growth range of Gini coefficient of population distribution in China was larger than that in the earlier period, and the Gini coefficient of population distribution in the four major regions was increasing in the sub-region. But the increase in the east and west is rising, and the increase in the central and northeast is decreasing.
【作者单位】：江西财经大学生态经济研究院;
【基金】：江西省社会科学“十三五”规划基金项目(16SH11) 中国博士后基金面上项目(2016M602080) 国家社会科学基金重大项目子课题(2015YZD16)
【分类号】：C924.2

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