中国人口老龄化对居民储蓄和投资资本的影响——来自中国省际面板数据的实证证据

发布时间：2018-04-28 19:50

  本文选题：人口抚养比 + 人口预期寿命　； 参考：《新疆社会科学》2015年04期

【摘要】：文章致力于研究中国人口老龄化对居民储蓄和投资资本的长远影响。在理论分析和建模的基础上,基于中国省际面板数据的实证结果表明,1983~2013年,人口抚养比的下降和人口预期寿命的上升对居民储蓄率具有显著的正面影响,贡献率分别达到20.82%和31.72%。研究还表明:就业率的上升也能明显增加居民储蓄率,政府支出和通货膨胀率对居民储蓄的影响没有通过显著性检验。
[Abstract]:On the basis of theoretical analysis and modeling, the empirical results of China's inter provincial panel data show that the decline in population dependency ratio and the increase in population life expectancy have a significant positive impact on the resident savings rate in 1983~2013, and the contribution rate of the population on the basis of theoretical analysis and modeling. The 20.82% and 31.72%. studies, respectively, also show that the increase in employment rate can also significantly increase the savings rate of residents, and the impact of government spending and inflation on Residents' savings has not been tested by a significant test.

【作者单位】： 大连理工大学马克思主义学院;新疆巴州党委组织部;大连理工大学人文与社会科学学部;
【分类号】：C924.2
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本文编号：1816627