中国农村人口老龄化的趋势、影响与应对

发布时间：2018-05-01 22:33

本文选题：人口老龄化 + 人口结构　；参考：《西部论坛》2015年02期

【摘要】：中国农村人口老龄化具有程度高于城镇、速度快于城镇、地区差异大于城镇、老年人口多于城镇等特征,应对农村人口老龄化更为急迫,任务也更为艰巨。未来中国农村人口老龄化将继续发展,并表现出明显的阶段性特征:2010—2020年为快速发展阶段,是应对农村人口老龄化的战略机遇期;2021—2034年为高速发展阶段,是应对农村人口老龄化的关键时期;2035—2050年为高位发展阶段,是应对人口老龄化的常态化时期。农村人口老龄化将对农村劳动力供给、经济发展、社会保障制度风险、养老服务需求等产生深远影响。必须高度重视应对农村人口老龄化,加大对农业、农村的投入,积极推进农业现代化;加快户籍制度改革,减缓农村人口老龄化进程;完善农村社会保障体系和农村社会服务体系,促进城乡社会保障和服务一体化。
[Abstract]:The aging of rural population in China is higher than that in urban areas, the speed is faster than that in urban areas, the regional difference is greater than that in cities and towns, and the elderly population is larger than that in urban areas, so it is more urgent and difficult to cope with the aging of rural population. In the future, the aging of the rural population in China will continue to develop, and it will show obvious stage characteristics: 2010-2020 as the rapid development stage, and 2021-2034 as the period of rapid development, which is the strategic opportunity period to cope with the aging of the rural population. It is the key period to cope with the aging of the rural population, from 2035 to 2050 as the high stage of development, and from the normal period of response to the aging of the population. The aging of the rural population will have a profound impact on the supply of rural labor, economic development, social security system risks, pension service demand and so on. We must attach great importance to the aging of the rural population, increase investment in agriculture and rural areas, actively promote agricultural modernization, accelerate the reform of the household registration system, and slow down the aging process of the rural population. We will improve the rural social security system and the rural social service system and promote the integration of urban and rural social security and services.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金资助项目(12BRK011)
【分类号】：C924.24;D422.6

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