长期居住意愿对流动人口消费行为的影响

发布时间：2018-05-04 21:07

本文选题：流动人口 + 长期居住意愿　；参考：《中国人口科学》2017年05期

【摘要】：文章利用国家卫计委2014年流动人口动态监测数据,考察长期居住意愿对流动人口消费行为的影响,并使用普通最小二乘法和倾向性得分匹配法进行实证分析,结果发现,有长期居住意愿的流动人口人均月消费达1360元,比其他流动人口高出13.9%。有长期居住意愿流动人口的住房消费支出增加20.7%,使其占总消费比重提高1.3%,在所有支出中影响最大。长期居住意愿对省内流动人口的住房消费支出影响比跨省流动人口更大,增幅达28.3%。文章认为,在当前的户籍制度下,政府可以通过居住证制度合理引导流动人口在流入地长期居住,加快流动人口从个体迁移向举家迁移转变,增加其在流入地的消费支出,尤其是住房的消费支出,为进一步的户籍改革提供基础。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of floating population dynamic monitoring in 2014 from the State Health and Family Planning Commission, this paper investigates the effect of long-term residence intention on the consumption behavior of floating population, and makes an empirical analysis by using the ordinary least square method and the tendency score matching method. The average monthly consumption of floating population with long term residence is 1360 yuan, which is 13.9 yuan higher than that of other floating population. The housing consumption expenditure of the floating population with long-term living intention increased by 20.7g, which increased its proportion to the total consumption by 1.3%, which had the greatest impact on all the expenditures. The effect of long-term residence intention on the housing consumption expenditure of the floating population in the province is greater than that of the inter-provincial floating population, with an increase of 28.3%. The article holds that under the current household registration system, the government can reasonably guide the floating population to live in the floating place for a long time through the residence permit system, speed up the transition of the floating population from individual migration to family migration, and increase their consumption expenditure in the place of emigration. In particular, consumer spending on housing provides the basis for further household registration reform.
【作者单位】：宁波诺丁汉大学经济学院;
【基金】：浙江省哲学社会科学重点研究基地课题“中国的代际流动性及其机理研究”(编号:14JDLB01Z)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：C924.2

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