计划生育与代际不平等传递——基于个体代际流动的微观视角

发布时间：2018-06-02 16:29

本文选题：计划生育 + 家庭规模　；参考：《经济评论》2017年05期

【摘要】：不平等在代际间传递不利于社会的稳定和可持续发展,本文旨在考察计划生育对代际不平等传递的影响。利用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)2010年数据,本文基于个体代际流动的微观视角从人力资本与社会资本两条途径进行实证检验,研究发现,计划生育通过缩小家庭规模促进了个体向上代际流动。进一步的检验发现,家庭规模效应在男女、城乡之间存在异质性。最后,我们对家庭规模效应进行分解,发现一方面兄弟姐妹通过减少个体受教育年限降低了个体向上流动的可能,另一方面兄弟姐妹作为个体的社会资本,兄弟姐妹越多,其向上流动的概率越大。本文为深入理解代际不平等传递的微观机制提供了新思路,同时也为事后客观评估计划生育的政策后果提供了微观依据。
[Abstract]:The transmission of inequality between generations is not conducive to the stability and sustainable development of society. This paper aims to investigate the impact of family planning on the transmission of inequality between generations. Based on the data of China Household tracking Survey (CFPS) in 2010, this paper makes an empirical test from two ways of human capital and social capital based on the microscopic perspective of individual intergenerational mobility, and finds that, Family planning promotes the upward intergenerational mobility of individuals by reducing the family size. Further tests show that there is heterogeneity between men and women and between urban and rural areas. Finally, we decompose the family size effect and find that on the one hand, brothers and sisters reduce the likelihood of upward mobility by reducing the number of years of individual education, on the other hand, brothers and sisters as individual social capital, the more brothers and sisters, The higher the probability of its upward flow. This paper provides a new way to understand the micro mechanism of the transmission of intergenerational inequality, and provides a microcosmic basis for the objective evaluation of the policy consequences of family planning afterwards.
【作者单位】：北京大学国家发展研究院博士后流动站;山东大学经济研究院;
【分类号】：C924.21

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