京津冀城市群流动人口居留意愿及空间分布的影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-07-10 18:49

本文选题：京津冀城市群 + 流动人口　；参考：《河北师范大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,我国实现了长期高速的经济增长。与此同时,城镇化也进入了深入发展的关键时期,其中人口的大规模流动对于城镇化的高速发展起到了推动作用。京津冀城市群作为我国一个经济总量大、人口众多、发展速度快和发展条件好的区域,对流动人口的吸引力不断增强。流动人口在城市稳定、长期居住是融入城市,逐步实现市民化,从而稳步推进城镇化、提升城镇化质量的前提。近年来流动人口已经成为城镇化进程中的一个重要研究领域,而对于流动人口居留意愿的研究就是对流动人口在城市中是否长期居住问题的探究,这就关系到了地区城镇化发展的长期性及稳定性的问题,也是提升城镇化质量的核心,因此对于流动人口的居留意愿的研究显得尤为重要。本文在前人的研究基础上,从京津冀城市群流动人口的居留意愿入手,首先分析流动人口中居留意愿者的构成情况,初步了解各城市流动人口居留意愿者构成上所存在的差异;其次运用Logistics回归分析、相关性分析、主成分分析以及多元线性回归分析等方法,从流动人口自身特征及城市“拉力”两方面分别探究流动人口居留意愿及其分布特征的影响因素;最后结合京津冀城市群的发展状况,并根据流动人口居留意愿及其分布特征的影响因素,提出引导流动人口空间合理分布以及推进城镇化发展的对策建议,力求推进京津冀城市群城镇化发展进程、提升新型城镇化质量做出贡献。
[Abstract]:Since reform and opening up, our country has achieved long-term high-speed economic growth. At the same time, urbanization has also entered a critical period of in-depth development, in which large-scale population flow has played a role in promoting the rapid development of urbanization. Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, as a region with large economic volume, large population, rapid development and good development conditions, is increasingly attractive to the floating population. The floating population is stable in the city and the long-term residence is the premise of integrating into the city and gradually realizing the urbanization, thus steadily promoting urbanization and improving the quality of urbanization. In recent years, floating population has become an important research field in the process of urbanization. This is related to the long-term development of regional urbanization and stability, but also the core of improving the quality of urbanization, so it is particularly important to study the residence intention of floating population. On the basis of previous studies, this paper begins with the residence intention of the floating population in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, first of all, analyzes the composition of the floating population, and preliminarily understands the differences in the composition of the floating population in different cities. Secondly, logistics regression analysis, correlation analysis, principal component analysis and multiple linear regression analysis are used. From the aspects of the floating population's own characteristics and the city's "pull force", the paper probes into the influencing factors of the floating population's residence intention and its distribution characteristics, and finally combines with the development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration. According to the influencing factors of the floating population's residence intention and its distribution characteristics, the paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to guide the reasonable distribution of floating population space and to promote the urbanization development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration. We will contribute to improving the quality of new urbanization.
【学位授予单位】：河北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：C924.2

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