呼包鄂城市群经济适度人口研究

发布时间：2018-10-12 15:37

【摘要】：适度的人口对于经济发展来说,适度的人口规模不仅可以促进社会分工,而且还可以通过人口素质的提高和人口结构的合理化,带来技术、生产效率的提高和相对稳定的经济发展结构。本次研究在适度人口的相关文献、研究现状分析的基础上,以区域适度人口理论和区域人口均衡发展理论为理论基础,对呼包鄂城市群的人口与经济的协调发展方面进行了分析。本文用2000年为基期标准,运用适合于经济发展的人口测算模型--EOP-MM模型对呼包鄂城市群2001-2015年的适合于经济发展的人口规模进行了定量研究并在2014年为基期标准下,对2015年呼包鄂城市群内各城区、旗县的适合于经济发展的人口规模进行了测算,得出了以下结论:(1)在2003-2015年期间,呼包鄂城市群适合于经济发展的人口规模小于实际人口规模。经济发展较落后于人口发展。(2)在2015年,呼包鄂城市群19个城区、旗县存在部分旗县适合于经济发展的人口规模高于实际人口规模,即人口稀缺的现状。因此,解决呼包鄂城市群人口与经济发展问题,使人口发展与经济发展相适应,已经成为自治区在经济新常态背景下,实现经济稳定发展的关键。本文在详细分析了实际人口规模与经济适度人口规模之间形成缺口原因的基础上,对如何缩小经济适度人口与实际人口的差距,从提高经济适度人口的方面提出了一些对策建议。
[Abstract]:For economic development, an appropriate population scale can not only promote the social division of labor, but also bring technology through the improvement of the quality of the population and the rationalization of the population structure. The improvement of production efficiency and relatively stable structure of economic development. This study is based on the theory of regional moderate population and the theory of balanced development of regional population on the basis of the literature on moderate population and the analysis of current situation. This paper analyzes the coordinated development of population and economy in Hubao and Hubei urban agglomeration. In this paper, the population scale suitable for economic development from 2001 to 2015 in Hubao E urban agglomeration is quantitatively studied by using the EOP-MM model, which is suitable for economic development, according to the year 2000 as the base period standard, and under the base period standard of 2014, this paper makes a quantitative study on the population size of the urban agglomeration in Hubao and Hubei, which is suitable for economic development in 2001-2015. The population scale suitable for economic development in each urban area and flag county of Hubao E urban agglomeration in 2015 is calculated, and the following conclusions are drawn: (1) in 2003-2015, the population scale of Hubao E urban agglomeration suitable for economic development is smaller than the actual population scale. Economic development lags behind population development. (2) in 2015, there were 19 urban areas in Hubao and Hubei city group, some of which were suitable for economic development, the population scale of flag county was higher than that of real population scale, that is, the present situation of population scarcity. Therefore, to solve the problem of population and economic development in Hubao and Hubei urban agglomeration and to adapt population development to economic development has become the key to the stable economic development of autonomous region under the new normal economic background. Based on the detailed analysis of the causes of the gap between the actual population size and the economic moderate population scale, this paper discusses how to narrow the gap between the economic moderate population and the actual population. Some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward from the aspect of raising the economic moderate population.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：C924.2;F299.27

【参考文献】