家庭户特征对家庭能源消费的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-27 00:01

本文关键词： 家庭能源消费家庭人口特征微观数据多元回归　出处：《首都经济贸易大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：我国的能源消费逐年递增,这不仅会引发资源的短缺和环境气候的变化,更关乎到我国今后的可持续发展和环境。以往关于人口与能源消费的相关研究多集中在人口总量、人口年龄结构、人口城镇化率等宏观指标如何影响能源消费,而关于微观家庭户层面的研究则相对较少。本文利用CFPS微观家庭户调查数据进行多元统计分析,试图找出影响微观家庭户能源消费的人口学因素及其影响机制。此外,本研究将家庭能源消费分为直接和间接能源消费。所谓间接能源,即购买非能源商品,但是制造该商品的工业流程却要消耗能源,且家庭间接能源消费量不小于直接能源。本研究采取生活分析法(CLA)来核算具体单个家庭的间接能源消费量。本文建立多元回归模型,深入分析了影响家庭能源消费量的家庭户特征,包括家庭人口规模、家庭总体收入、家庭城乡类型、家庭所处经济区域、家庭主事者受教育程度、家庭成员年龄结构等。研究得出了有意义的结论:1、不论直接能源消费还是间接能源消费,家庭的城乡类型、家庭收入、所处经济区域都是共同的关键因素。2、直接、间接能源消费各自有着独特的家庭户特征影响,比如直接能源消费的收入弹性小于间接能源消费;电力这一直接能源消费,南北方气候因素相对重要,而间接能源消费的影响因素中,主事者年龄和家庭人口规模更加有影响。3、各经济区域的能源消费特点各有不同,东部、东北地区的收入因素比城乡类型重要,中西部地区正相反。这些结论为我国制定更公平、更细致的家庭能源政策提供了有意义的理论基础和新的政策方向。
[Abstract]:China's energy consumption is increasing year by year, which will not only lead to the shortage of resources and environmental climate changes. Related to the future sustainable development and environment in China. Previous studies on population and energy consumption focused on the total population, population age structure, population urbanization rate and other macro indicators how to affect energy consumption. However, there are relatively few studies on the micro household level. This paper uses CFPS micro household survey data to carry out multivariate statistical analysis. In addition, this study divides household energy consumption into direct and indirect energy consumption. But the industrial processes that make this commodity consume energy. Household indirect energy consumption is not less than that of direct energy. This study adopts life analysis method (CLA) to calculate the indirect energy consumption of a single household. A multivariate regression model is established in this paper. It deeply analyzes the characteristics of household energy consumption, including the size of the household population, the total income of the family, the type of the household urban and rural, the economic region in which the family is located, and the education level of the household principal. The age structure of family members and so on. The study draws a meaningful conclusion: whether direct or indirect energy consumption, urban and rural types of households, household income. Both direct and indirect energy consumption have unique household characteristics, such as the income elasticity of direct energy consumption is smaller than indirect energy consumption; Electricity is a direct energy consumption, the climate factor of the north and south is relatively important, and the age of the principal and the size of the household have more influence on the indirect energy consumption. The characteristics of energy consumption in different economic regions are different. The income factors in the eastern and northeast regions are more important than the urban and rural types, while the central and western regions are just the opposite. These conclusions are more equitable for our country. More detailed household energy policies provide a meaningful theoretical basis and new policy directions.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：C913.1;F426.2

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