家庭分离与农民工家庭消费选择的研究

发布时间：2018-04-25 01:17

本文选题：农民工 + 家庭分离　；参考：《清华大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：家庭是消费市场上的主要单元，其组成形态影响着家庭消费决策。来自农村的流动人口特殊的身份以及家庭分离的迁移模式，使得其家庭消费同时面临跨时与跨地的选择，形成一种对其家庭务工所得报酬和收入的独特配置方式，并因其对流入地与流出地带来的经济社会影响而引起广泛的社会关注。对于农民工家庭，家庭消费的决策已不能简单地由经典的消费理论与概念来回答，不同的家庭迁移模式成为探索家庭消费选择更为关键和更具有现实意义的问题。在对农民工家庭消费选择的探讨中，本文提出应以家庭生命周期的动态视角来考察家庭分离的影响在不同家庭阶段的体现，并通过对消费、储蓄、汇款三种消费选择行为的结构性分析探讨农民工家庭经济资源整体配置策略和跨时、跨地选择背后的动机。基于此，本文利用2010年下本年国家人口与计划生育委员会开展的“全国流动人口动态监测调查”中的六城市农民工家庭调查数据和本地户籍家庭对比调查数据，通过对农民工的消费倾向、储蓄与汇款意愿、储蓄与汇款倾向指标分别建构OLS、LOGIT、TOBIT模型，考察了家庭分离对农民工消费选择结构的影响以及在不同家庭生命周期阶段的差异。分析结果表明，农民工家庭在本地消费倾向不仅低于本地户籍城镇家庭，也低于本地户籍农村家庭，且具有明显的代际差异，新生代农民工家庭尤其是单身独自外出的农民工在跨时选择上更倾向于消费，而老生代农民工家庭更倾向于储蓄。家庭分离对农民工家庭消费选择的影响体现在农民工家庭的各个阶段，年轻农民工与父母的分离，已婚农民工与配偶的分离，农民工与幼儿期、教育期及成年子女的分离使得家庭在本地表现出更低的消费倾向、更高的汇款意愿以及汇款倾向。对于新生代农民工，团聚家庭基于本地延期性消费动机，具有更高的储蓄意愿和储蓄倾向，而老生代农民工则相反，分离家庭基于在老家延期性消费动机，具有更高的储蓄意愿和储蓄倾向。在消费选择结构上，，老生代农民工家庭在储蓄与汇款上具有目标一致性，且都与回老家养老意愿、家庭规模呈正相关关系，其储蓄行为主要是为了预防家人在老家未来生活风险，在汇款行为上则体现了利他、利己动机的结合。而新生代农民工的储蓄在目标上与本地消费更加亲和，且都与在本地长期发展意愿和社会保障程度呈正相关关系，其储蓄行为更多地源自预防家人在本地未来生活风险考虑，在汇款上体现了利他、利己与共同保险动机的结合。
[Abstract]:Family is the main unit in the consumer market. The special status of the floating population from rural areas and the migration mode of family separation make the family consumption face the choice of time and place at the same time, and form a unique way to allocate the remuneration and income of the family workers. And because of its economic and social impact on the inflow and outflow caused widespread social concern. For peasant workers' families, family consumption decision can not be simply answered by the classical consumption theory and concept. Different family migration patterns become more critical and more practical to explore the choice of family consumption. In the discussion of the choice of peasant workers' household consumption, this paper puts forward that the influence of family separation should be examined from the dynamic perspective of family life cycle in different family stages, and through the consumption, savings, Structural Analysis of three kinds of consumption Choice behavior of remittances; the overall allocation strategy of economic resources of peasant workers' families and the motivation behind cross-location choice. Based on this, this paper makes use of the survey data of migrant workers' families in six cities and the comparative survey data of local household registration in the National population and Family Planning Commission's National Survey of floating population Dynamics conducted by the National population and Family Planning Commission in 2010. Through the construction of OLSLOGITITTOBIT model on the consumption tendency, saving and remittance intention, saving and remittance propensity index of migrant workers, this paper investigates the influence of family separation on the consumption choice structure of migrant workers and the differences in different family life cycle stages. The results show that the local consumption tendency of migrant workers is not only lower than that of urban households, but also lower than that of rural households, and there are significant intergenerational differences. The new generation of migrant workers especially those who go out alone are more inclined to consume in the intertemporal choice while the families of the old generation are more inclined to save. The impact of family separation on the consumption choice of migrant workers is reflected in the separation of young migrant workers from their parents, the separation of married migrant workers from their spouses, and the separation of migrant workers and young children. Education and the separation of adult children have led families to show a lower propensity to spend money, higher willingness to send money and a tendency to remit money locally. For the new generation of migrant workers, the family reunion based on the local deferred consumption motivation, with a higher savings willingness and savings tendency, while the older generation migrant workers on the contrary, separated families based on deferred consumption motivation in their hometown, A higher willingness to save and a propensity to save. In terms of consumption choice structure, the families of migrant workers in old generation have the same goal in saving and remittance, and both have positive correlation with the will to go back to their hometown for the aged, and the family size. Its saving behavior is mainly to prevent the family from living in the future risk in home, and the remittance behavior reflects the combination of altruism and egoism. The savings of the new generation of migrant workers are more compatible with local consumption in the goal, and both have positive correlation with the long-term development will and the degree of social security in the local, their savings behavior is more derived from the prevention of family life in the future risk considerations. In the remittance reflects altruism, self-interest and the combination of co-insurance motivation.
【学位授予单位】：清华大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：C913.1;C913.3;D412.6

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