中国妇女未婚先孕的模式与影响因素
发布时间：2018-11-23 11:46
【摘要】：未婚先孕和婚前流产不仅反映中国青年婚姻和性相关的观念、实践的变化,也意味着潜在的健康威胁与公共服务需求。文章针对既有研究的数据偏差和理论不足提出改进的数据采集方案与解释框架,利用2013年"流动人口动态监测调查"数据的生育史信息,对流动人口未婚先孕水平和模式进行探索,并采用竞争性风险事件史模型验证了婚前流动对未婚先孕的影响及其异质性。结果表明,流动妇女中有20%~25%会经历以生育结束的未婚先孕,加上以流产结束的部分,未婚先孕发生率会更高;婚前流动会显著提高未婚先孕几率;初次外出时年龄越小,流出时间越长,未婚先孕几率越高;婚前流动经历对农业户籍、教育水平较低的流动妇女发生未婚先孕的影响更大。
[Abstract]:Pregnancy before marriage and abortion before marriage not only reflect the change of marriage and sex related concepts but also mean the potential health threat and public service demand. Aiming at the data deviation and theoretical deficiency of the existing research, the paper puts forward an improved data collection scheme and interpretation framework, and uses the reproductive history information of the data from the "floating population dynamic Monitoring Survey" in 2013. This paper explores the level and model of unmarried first pregnancy in floating population, and uses the competitive risk event history model to verify the influence and heterogeneity of pre-marital mobility on unmarried first pregnancy. The results showed that 20% of the floating women experienced unmarried pregnancy at the end of childbearing, and the incidence of unmarried first pregnancy was higher than that of abortion, and the probability of unmarried pregnancy was significantly increased by pre-marital mobility. The younger the age, the longer the outflow time, the higher the probability of unmarried pregnancy; the greater the impact of pre-marital mobility on agricultural household registration, lower education level of migrant women unmarried pregnancy.
【作者单位】： 中国人民大学中国调查与数据中心、社会与人口学院;北京大学社会学系;
【基金】：2014年北京市教育规划项目(项目编码AAA13002)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：C913.1;C913.68
本文编号：2351492
[Abstract]:Pregnancy before marriage and abortion before marriage not only reflect the change of marriage and sex related concepts but also mean the potential health threat and public service demand. Aiming at the data deviation and theoretical deficiency of the existing research, the paper puts forward an improved data collection scheme and interpretation framework, and uses the reproductive history information of the data from the "floating population dynamic Monitoring Survey" in 2013. This paper explores the level and model of unmarried first pregnancy in floating population, and uses the competitive risk event history model to verify the influence and heterogeneity of pre-marital mobility on unmarried first pregnancy. The results showed that 20% of the floating women experienced unmarried pregnancy at the end of childbearing, and the incidence of unmarried first pregnancy was higher than that of abortion, and the probability of unmarried pregnancy was significantly increased by pre-marital mobility. The younger the age, the longer the outflow time, the higher the probability of unmarried pregnancy; the greater the impact of pre-marital mobility on agricultural household registration, lower education level of migrant women unmarried pregnancy.
【作者单位】： 中国人民大学中国调查与数据中心、社会与人口学院;北京大学社会学系;
【基金】：2014年北京市教育规划项目(项目编码AAA13002)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：C913.1;C913.68
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