中美关系与2030年世界秩序的不确定性

发布时间：2018-02-28 14:21

本文关键词： 中国美国世界秩序权力转移　出处：《人民论坛·学术前沿》2017年15期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：2030年的世界即将到来,中国和美国是2030年世界最为关键的国家行为体。中美两国的实力对比和互动关系对世界秩序产生至关重要的影响。中美双边关系的形态本身就是2030年世界的重要内容。就中美关系而言,届时两国实力对比高度接近,经济深度相互依赖,政治制度共存,安全形势总体可控。从亚太区域层面,中美"两极化"的趋势基本成型。中国和美国呈现出不同的地区公共产品供给特征。亚太地区以稳定为主。从世界秩序的角度,2030年世界秩序处于相对稳定的阶段,"两超多强"的格局基本形成,但是如何形成新的世界秩序,存在着中美竞争、中美融合以及中美放任等不同的前景。
[Abstract]:The world of 2030 is coming, In 2030, China and the United States were the most critical national actors in the world. The balance of strength and interaction between China and the United States had a vital impact on the world order. The shape of bilateral relations between China and the United States was itself an important part of the world in 2030. As far as Sino-US relations are concerned, By then, the two countries will have a high degree of strength, deep economic interdependence, coexistence of political systems, and a generally controllable security situation. From the Asia-Pacific regional level, The trend of "polarization" between China and the United States has basically taken shape. China and the United States show different regional public goods supply characteristics. The Asia-Pacific region is dominated by stability. From the point of view of the world order, in 2030, the world order was at a relatively stable stage. The pattern of "two superpowers and more powerful" was basically formed. But there are different prospects for the formation of a new world order, such as the competition between China and the United States, the integration of China and the United States, and the laissez-faire between China and the United States.
【作者单位】：复旦大学美国研究中心;
【分类号】：D815;D822.371.2

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