分化对手联盟:战略、机制与案例

发布时间：2018-03-07 16:51

本文选题：分化对手联盟　切入点：合作性战略　出处：《世界经济与政治》2014年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在国际政治中,一个国家在面对对手联盟可能造成的安全威胁和对自身发展的阻碍时,既可以选择通过发展军备和结盟来增强自身力量,也可以主动采取措施削弱、限制和破坏针对自己的实际或潜在联盟,这些措施可以被称做分化对手联盟战略。根据战略效果的不同,分化对手联盟战略的主要目标包括阻止新的潜在结盟国家加入对手联盟,促使对手联盟中的某些成员在对抗和冲突中保持中立,吸引某些国家在竞争中转而支持自己以及拉拢对手联盟中的成员加入己方阵营。根据与联盟政治相关的既有理论和历史经验,分化对手联盟战略可以被分为合作性战略、对抗性战略及观望性战略等三种主要类型。冷战结束后,美国主导的北约东扩进程对俄罗斯的国家安全和地区影响力构成了严峻挑战。面对北约向中东欧尤其是独联体国家持续扩张,俄罗斯试图综合运用合作与对抗等多种手段阻止周边邻国加入北约。尽管这些战略努力既有成功经验也有失败教训,但是俄罗斯中止格鲁吉亚和乌克兰加入北约进程的努力展示出分化对手联盟战略在当今单极体系下的成功案例。
[Abstract]:In international politics, in the face of security threats and obstacles to the development of a rival alliance, a country may choose to strengthen itself by developing arms and alliances, or to take initiatives to weaken them. Limiting and undermining actual or potential alliances against themselves can be described as dividing adversaries' alliance strategies. Depending on the effectiveness of the strategy, The main objectives of the strategy of dividing adversary alliances include preventing new potential allies from joining adversary alliances and keeping some members of rival coalitions neutral in confrontation and conflict. Attracting some countries to support themselves in the competition and to attract the members of the adversary alliance to join their own camp. Based on the existing theory and historical experience related to the politics of the alliance, the strategy of dividing the adversary alliance can be divided into cooperative strategy. There are three main types of adversarial strategy and wait-and-see strategy. The US-led NATO eastward expansion process poses a serious challenge to Russia's national security and regional influence. In the face of NATO's continued expansion into Central and Eastern Europe, especially the CIS countries, Russia is trying to use a combination of cooperation and confrontation to prevent neighboring countries from joining NATO. Despite the successes and failures of these strategic efforts, But Russia's efforts to stop Georgia and Ukraine from joining NATO demonstrate the success story of dividing rival alliances in today's unipolar system.
【作者单位】：南开大学周恩来政府管理学院;
【分类号】：D81

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