崛起国创建国际制度的策略

发布时间：2018-03-09 19:14

本文选题：崛起国　切入点：国际制度　出处：《世界经济与政治》2017年09期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：国家实力对比的变化会引起崛起国对现存国际制度分配结果的不满。崛起国大体上可以采取两项策略来改革国际制度安排:一是推动现存国际制度内部的改革,二是在外部创建功能重叠的新的国际制度。已有的制度主义研究多认为新建国际制度很难实现,但现实世界中却出现了崛起国成功创建国际制度的不少实例。作者试图探寻在何种条件下,崛起国创建的国际制度更容易获得初始生存。由于新建国际组织天生的脆弱性,崛起国能否建立稳定可见的自我约束机制,塑造"新旧"国际制度的合作预期,是决定国际制度能否创建成功的关键。基于此,作者提出一个制度间合作的分析框架,认为崛起国在议题领域选择和组织间架构两方面的策略选择,会影响制度间合作承诺的可信性,进而影响新创国际制度的初始生存。通过对亚洲开发银行、亚洲货币基金、清迈倡议以及金砖银行创建的比较案例研究,文中提出的假说得到验证。其政策启示在于,崛起国通过选择网络外部性较低的议题领域以及建立合股、授权和战略伙伴等制度化的组织间架构,有利于塑造制度合作的稳定预期,促进国际制度在创设初期的生存。
[Abstract]:The change in the ratio of national power will cause the rising countries to be dissatisfied with the results of the distribution of the existing international system. In general, the rising countries can adopt two strategies to reform the international institutional arrangements: first, to promote the reform within the existing international system. Second, to create a new international system with overlapping functions outside. Most of the existing institutionalism studies hold that it is very difficult to achieve the new international system. In the real world, however, there are many examples of the successful creation of an international system by a rising nation. The author tries to find out under what conditions the international system created by the rising nation is more likely to survive initially, because of the inherent vulnerability of the new international organization. Whether a rising country can establish a stable and visible self-restraint mechanism and shape the expectation of cooperation between the "new and old" international institutions is the key to the success of the international system. Based on this, the author puts forward an analytical framework for inter-institutional cooperation. Considering that the strategic choices of emerging countries in both subject area selection and inter-organizational architecture will affect the credibility of inter-institutional commitment to cooperation and, in turn, the initial survival of the newly created international system... through the Asian Development Bank, the Asian Monetary Fund, The Chiang Mai Initiative and the comparative case studies created by the BRICS Bank have tested the hypothesis. The policy implications of this hypothesis are that rising countries choose areas of concern with less network externalities and establish joint ventures. The institutional inter-organizational framework such as delegation of authority and strategic partners is conducive to shaping the stable expectation of institutional cooperation and promoting the survival of the international system in the early stages of its creation.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“亚投行与现有多边开发机构的竞争性与互补性研究”(批准号:16CGJ022)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：D81

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