埃斯库德的外围现实主义研究

发布时间：2018-03-25 11:05

本文选题：埃斯库德　切入点：外围现实主义　出处：《中国社会科学院研究生院》2010年硕士论文

【摘要】： 本文试图解释外围现实主义理论所不能解释墨西哥、阿根廷冷战结束前后对美国政策调整收益差异的问题。具体的逻辑是这样的:文章首先识别了现有的埃斯库德理论的主要理论来源、理论形成的历史及其价值预设;然后根据埃斯库德的著作,归纳出了其理论的框架、外围国家对大国政策行为的进程模式(变量关系)和规范的政策取向;再利用这种“外围国家对大国政策行为的进程模式”解释墨西哥、阿根廷案例,并发现其解释力的不充分性;随后提出了新的解释变量(相互依存)的假设,来改进理论的解释能力,通过假设演绎的方法,验证了提出的假设,证实了因果关系,并考察了具体的因果关系机制,最终得出了墨西哥、阿根廷收益差异产生的原因,从而回答了文章开头提出的问题。再把这新提出的变量,纳入到旧的理论模式中,形成修正的“外围国家对大国政策行为的进程模式”。本文有若干发现:其一,埃斯库德外围现实主义的理论渊源有哪些;其二,埃斯库德理论具有一定的解释力,能解释外围国家对大国合作政策会产生收益,但不能解释收益大小的问题,具体表现在墨西哥、阿根廷案例中;其三,相互依存变量因其对大国收益成本考虑的影响,能影响大国对外围国家的政策反馈,进而能影响外围国家从其对大国合作政策的收益大小,因而能解释墨西哥、阿根廷案例的差异;其四,把相互依存变量纳入埃斯库德的“外围国家对大国政策行为的进程模式”因而具有合理性,可以充分地解释外围国家对大国合作行为的收益及收益大小。
[Abstract]:This paper attempts to explain that Mexico cannot be explained by the theory of peripheral realism. The specific logic is as follows: firstly, this paper identifies the main theoretical sources of the existing Escud's theory, the history of the formation of the theory and its value presupposition; Then, according to Escud's works, it concludes the theoretical framework, the process model (variable relation) and the normative policy orientation of the peripheral countries to the policy behavior of the great powers. This "process model of the behaviour of the peripheral countries towards the policies of the great Powers" was then used to explain the case of Mexico and Argentina and to discover the inadequacies of its explanatory power; subsequently, the hypothesis of new explanatory variables (interdependence) was proposed. To improve the explanatory ability of the theory, through the method of hypothesis deduction, the hypothesis is verified, the causality is confirmed, and the concrete causality mechanism is investigated. Finally, the reasons for the difference in income between Mexico and Argentina are obtained. The new variable is incorporated into the old theoretical model to form a revised "process model of the policy behavior of the peripheral countries towards the great powers". There are several findings in this paper: first, what are the theoretical origins of Aescud's peripheral realism; secondly, Escud's theory has a certain explanatory power, which can explain the benefits of the peripheral countries' cooperative policy towards the big powers. But it is not possible to explain the issue of the size of the income, which is manifested in the cases of Mexico and Argentina. Thirdly, because of the impact of the interdependence variable on the cost of income of large countries, it can affect the policy feedback of large countries towards the peripheral countries. In turn, it can affect the extent to which peripheral countries benefit from their policy of cooperation with big countries, thus explaining the differences in the case of Mexico and Argentina; fourth, Therefore, it is reasonable to bring the interdependent variables into Escud's "the process Model of the Policy behavior of the periphery countries towards the Great Powers", which can fully explain the benefits and benefits of the cooperation between the peripheral countries and the big powers.
【学位授予单位】：中国社会科学院研究生院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：D80

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