韩国在中美安全竞争间的选择

发布时间：2018-04-04 21:17

  本文选题：中国　切入点：美国　出处：《国际安全研究》2017年04期

【摘要】：由于中国的崛起,东亚的地区秩序发生了巨大变化,目前正处于过渡阶段。在过渡期的地区秩序下,像韩国这样的中等国家面临严重问题,即随着中美大国竞争导致地区旧秩序削弱,韩国该如何应对这种局面。观察家们为中等国家指出了一系列策略选择:从制衡到追随,从防范到接触。有些观察家认为,中等国家将通过不同方式扮演稳定局面的角色,保持双重等级体系,因为中等国家有可能从大国僵持中获益。作者则认为,中等国家可以采用的策略选择很大程度上受制于大国竞争的背景。在大国竞争的背景下,中等国家在战略结盟时很难做出自己的选择,更多是被迫接受某种选择。作者使用基本议价理论作为工具,阐述该观点背后的逻辑支撑是:在影响过渡期地区秩序的相对稳定性方面,中等国家的作用很小;在调和各种选择的影响方面,中等国家也不如大国有决定作用。
[Abstract]:As a result of the rise of China, the regional order in East Asia has changed dramatically and is now in a transitional stage.In the transitional regional order, middle-class countries like South Korea are facing serious problems about how South Korea should deal with this situation as competition between China and the United States weakens the old regional order.Observers point out a range of strategic options for the medium-sized countries: from checks and balances to follow, from prevention to engagement.Some observers believe that the middle class will play a stabilizing role in different ways, maintaining a dual hierarchy, as the middle class could benefit from a stand-off between the big powers.The author thinks that the choice of strategy which can be adopted by middle countries is largely restricted by the background of big country competition.Under the background of great power competition, it is very difficult for the middle countries to make their own choice in strategic alliance, and they are forced to accept some kind of choice.Using the basic bargaining theory as a tool, the author explains that the logical support behind this view is that the middle countries play a small role in influencing the relative stability of the order in the transitional regions, and in reconciling the influence of various options,The middle-class countries are not as decisive as the big ones.
【作者单位】： 韩国峨山政策研究院;美国哥伦比亚大学国际与公共事务学院;国际关系学院外语学院英语系;
【分类号】：D822.3;D831.26;D871.2
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本文编号：1711720