伊核全面协议的影响评估

发布时间：2018-05-01 01:17

  本文选题：伊核谈判 + 《全面联合行动计划》　； 参考：《西亚非洲》2015年05期

【摘要】：2015年7月14日,伊核全面协议签署,长达12年的伊核谈判"终成正果"。伊核全面协议的达成是伊朗和美国双方政策相向而行的产物,其中最重要、最实质性的变量因素是美国改变了对伊朗的政策。作为联合国常任理事国之一,中国一直积极参与伊核问题的政治解决,在伊核谈判中发挥了独特作用。伊朗得以保留一定的民用核能力,与伊核相关的国际制裁有望被取消,伊朗从中收获颇丰。美国则有利于其在中东脱困,以总体服务于加快美国全球战略重心东移的战略。与此同时,中东地缘政治格局变化,伊朗地区大国地位得到巩固且可望进一步提升。在"后伊核协议时代",中国与伊朗关系面临新的发展机遇,中资企业需淡定应对跨国公司在伊朗市场展开的激烈竞争。
[Abstract]:July 14, 2015, the signing of the comprehensive agreement, 12-year-long Iran-nuclear negotiations, "finally fruit." The conclusion of the comprehensive agreement on Iran's nuclear program is a product of the opposite policies between Iran and the United States, the most important and substantial variable of which is that the United States has changed its policy towards Iran. As a permanent member of the United Nations, China has been actively involved in the political settlement of the Iranian nuclear issue and has played a unique role in the negotiations. Iran has been able to retain a certain civilian nuclear capability, and international nuclear-related sanctions are expected to be lifted. The United States, on the other hand, is conducive to its efforts to extricate itself from difficulties in the Middle East and to serve as a whole the strategy of accelerating the eastward shift of its global strategic focus. At the same time, the geopolitical structure of the Middle East changes, Iran regional power status has been consolidated and is expected to further enhance. In the "post-Iranian nuclear era", China's relations with Iran face new opportunities for development, and Chinese enterprises need to calm down to deal with the fierce competition of multinational companies in the Iranian market.
【作者单位】： 宁夏大学中国阿拉伯研究院;
【分类号】：D815.2
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本文编号：1827080