“后苏联空间”与“丝绸之路经济带”:一个分析框架

发布时间：2018-05-05 13:49

本文选题：后苏联空间 + 丝绸之路经济带　；参考：《俄罗斯研究》2016年01期

【摘要】：中国提出的"丝绸之路经济带"倡议所包含的很多沿线国家属于"后苏联空间"范围。而"后苏联空间"受到地区主导国俄罗斯的实力和战略意图变化及外部大国的影响,日益具备明显的弹性特征。当"后苏联空间"受到挤压或向外扩张时,经常会遭遇相应的反作用力。因此,这一战略地域的基本特征表现为地缘政治形势不稳、内在结构不断变化、特别容易受到国际关系和地区局势的影响。乌克兰危机的爆发和持续即为明证。当前,与"后苏联"空间相关的重大外在因素主要包括中国向西开放的机遇和挑战、后苏联空间内的外部大国的介入及与地区大国的合作与竞争,以及丝绸之路经济带与欧亚经济联盟之间如何对接等。借助于国际关系、国际政治经济学、新经济地理学等多学科的理论视角,经由部分重大问题的实证研究,设置一个合理的分析框架,可深化对"后苏联空间"发展现状与演进方向的理解,进而将有助于"丝绸之路经济带"的合作共建。
[Abstract]:Many of the countries along China's Silk Road Economic Belt are part of the post-Soviet space. The "space after the Soviet Union" is influenced by the change of the power and the strategic intention of the leading country of the region and the influence of the outside powers, and it has obvious characteristic of elasticity day by day. When the post-Soviet space is squeezed or expanded outwards, it often encounters counterforce. Therefore, the basic characteristics of this strategic region are that the geopolitical situation is unstable and the internal structure is constantly changing, which is especially vulnerable to the influence of international relations and regional situations. The outbreak and continuation of the crisis in Ukraine is clear evidence. At present, the major external factors related to the space of the "post-Soviet Union" mainly include the opportunities and challenges of China's opening to the west, the involvement of the outside powers in the space of the post-Soviet Union, and the cooperation and competition with the regional powers. And the Silk Road Economic Belt and the Eurasian Economic Union how to docking and so on. With the aid of international relations, international political economy, new economic geography and other multidisciplinary theoretical perspectives, through empirical research on some major issues, we set up a reasonable analytical framework. It can deepen the understanding of the development status and evolution direction of "space after Soviet Union", and further help the cooperation of "Silk Road Economic Belt".
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所;复旦大学俄罗斯中亚研究中心;
【基金】：国家社科基金“‘丝绸之路经济带’建设中合作与竞争的战略解析”(项目批准号:14CGJ008) 中国博士后科学基金面上资助(项目批准号:2015M570313)的阶段研究
【分类号】：D851.2

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