特朗普政府对朝政策逻辑与朝核问题前景

发布时间：2018-05-06 23:43

本文选题：特朗普政府 + 朝核问题　；参考：《现代国际关系》2017年07期

【摘要】：特朗普就任总统后将朝核问题列为非常重要的外交议题,短期内采取了多项单边、双边和多边政策行动。美国对朝核问题的紧迫程度有了新的认识,希望全方位加大对朝施压力度、以压促谈。美国认定中国是解决朝核问题的核心角色,试图诱压并举争取中国支持美国对朝政策。围绕朝核问题的博弈已经进入一个新的阶段。朝核问题大致有三种发展趋势:一是朝鲜在压力之下回归谈判,朝鲜核导能力发展阶段性停摆;二是朝核僵局延续,朝鲜在重压之下成功拥核;三是朝鲜半岛出现新的危机事态或者军事冲突。
[Abstract]:Trump has made the North Korean nuclear issue a very important diplomatic issue since he took office, and has taken a number of unilateral, bilateral and multilateral policy actions in the short term. The United States has a new understanding of the urgency of the North Korean nuclear issue and hopes to increase the pressure on the DPRK in all directions and promote talks. The United States identified China as the central role in resolving the North Korean nuclear issue and tried to induce China to support its policy towards North Korea. The game around the North Korean nuclear issue has entered a new stage. The North Korean nuclear issue has three development trends: one is that North Korea is under pressure to return to negotiations, the other is that the development of North Korea's nuclear missile capability has been phased out, the second is the continuation of the nuclear deadlock in the DPRK, and the successful holding of the nuclear power by the DPRK under heavy pressure. Third, there is a new crisis or military conflict on the Korean Peninsula.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院美国研究所战略研究室;
【分类号】：D815.2;D871.2

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