奥巴马政府“阿富巴”战略初探

发布时间：2018-05-23 17:05

本文选题：奥巴马 + “阿富巴”　；参考：《暨南大学》2010年硕士论文

【摘要】： 本文是对奥巴马政府“阿富巴”战略的一项初步分析,尝试探究该战略的缘起、内涵及其面临的挑战。本文认为,这一战略的推出具有深刻的背景。一方面,近年来阿富汗和巴基斯坦的安全形势日益恶化,恐怖主义和极端主义直接威胁着美国的国家安全。另一方面,奥巴马政府积极进行对外政策调整,确立了以“巧实力”理念为指导的外交新战略。“阿富巴”战略就是这两个基本背景下的产物。随着反恐形势变化,“阿富巴”战略也在进行不断的调整、改进,但是其基本内涵保持着一致性。强调多边主义、军事和民事手段并用等构成了“阿富巴”战略的基本内涵,其内涵在美国政府的相关政策行动中得到了充分的体现。然而,“阿富巴”战略的推行不会一帆风顺。一方面,它会受到来自国家行为体和地区国际体系层次的制衡。另一方面,它还面临着来自非国家行为体和社会层次的反击。从前者来看,“阿富巴”特殊的地缘战略位置决定着美国会面临来自俄罗斯和中国的权力对抗,主要体现在阿富汗运输通道的争夺上。从后者来看,塔利班和“基地”组织等极端势力将给“阿富巴”战略的推行带来持久的威胁,这与“阿富巴”边境地区尤其是巴基斯坦西北部落区的社会形态有着密切联系。由于面临复杂的周边环境和对手的极力反击,“阿富巴”战略要获得其预期效果,存在相当大的难度。
[Abstract]:This paper is a preliminary analysis of the Obama administration's "Afula" strategy, trying to explore the origin, connotation and challenges of the strategy. This paper believes that the launch of this strategy has a profound background. On the one hand, the security situation in Afghanistan and Pakistan has deteriorated in recent years, and terrorism and extremism directly threaten the national security of the United States. On the other hand, the Obama administration actively adjusted its foreign policy and established a new diplomatic strategy guided by the concept of "skillful power". The "Afula" strategy is the product of these two basic backgrounds. As the anti-terrorism situation changes, the "Afula" strategy is constantly being adjusted and improved, but its basic connotation remains consistent. The emphasis on multilateralism and the combination of military and civilian means constitute the basic connotation of the "Afula" strategy, which has been fully embodied in the relevant policy actions of the United States Government. However, the implementation of the "Afula" strategy will not be smooth. On the one hand, it is subject to checks and balances from national actors and the regional international system. On the other hand, it also faces counterattacks from non-state actors and social levels. From the former point of view, the special geo-strategic position of "Afghanistan" determines that the United States will face power confrontation from Russia and China, mainly in the scramble for Afghan transport passage. From the latter point of view, extremist forces such as the Taliban and al-Qaeda will pose a lasting threat to the implementation of the "Afula" strategy, which is closely related to the social formation of the "Afghanistan" border areas, especially the northwestern tribal areas of Pakistan. In the face of complex surrounding environment and counterattack by adversaries, the "Afula" strategy has considerable difficulty in obtaining its expected effect.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：D871.2

【引证文献】