从奥巴马到特朗普:美国东南亚政策的走势

发布时间：2018-05-29 17:20

本文选题：美国 + 奥巴马　；参考：《东南亚研究》2017年01期

【摘要】：本文分析特朗普政府的东南亚政策,包括其继承的遗产,尤其是奥巴马政府的相关政策,并对未来走势进行了展望。结合美国东南亚政策的演变,本文提出四点看法:一是,二战后美国东南亚政策的演变呈现"20年周期"变动的特征;二是,奥巴马政府的东南亚政策是其亚洲政策的亮点,也是其为继任者留下的重要"遗产";三是,特朗普政府将延续前任的安全政策,弱化人权等议题,但在经贸领域会采取更加积极和针对性的措施;四是,第四个"20年周期"的美国东南亚政策针对中国的措施是否会得到强化,犹如当年里根政府针对苏联的政策一样,值得我们进一步观察。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the Trump administration's policies in Southeast Asia, including the legacy it inherited, especially the Obama administration's policies, and looks forward to the future. Combined with the evolution of American Southeast Asia policy, this paper puts forward four points of view: first, the evolution of American Southeast Asia policy after World War II presents the characteristics of "20-year cycle" change; second, the Obama administration's Southeast Asia policy is the highlight of its Asian policy. It is also an important "legacy" left by his successors; third, the Trump administration will continue its predecessor's security policy, weaken human rights and other issues, but will take more active and targeted measures in the economic and trade field. Fourth, Whether the fourth "20-year cycle" of America's Southeast Asia policy toward China will be strengthened, as the Reagan administration did with the Soviet Union, deserves further observation.
【作者单位】：暨南大学国际关系学院/华侨华人研究院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重点项目“海外中国公民利益保护机制研究”(16AZZ016)
【分类号】：D871.2

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