中东安全局势演变特征及其发展趋势

发布时间：2018-05-29 18:40

本文选题：中东安全局势 + “伊斯兰国”　；参考：《西亚非洲》2015年03期

【摘要】："伊斯兰国"极端组织已成为影响中东地区稳定的最大安全隐患,也门局势恶化也折射出中东安全局势混乱的一面,但这些并不反映当前中东局势的全部,很大程度上它是美国战略调整引发中东地缘政治格局重构以及中东变局导致中东局部动荡的延续。从全局看,随着埃及等早期"因变生乱"的转型国家正逐步向"乱后求治"过渡,中东变局总体上出现了逐渐趋稳的迹象。巴勒斯坦问题、伊朗核问题等传统热点问题也出现了新的发展。美国调整后的中东战略意图日趋明朗,构建一个由中东主要国家形成的互相制约、相对平衡的地区安全新架构的想法正逐渐浮出水面。未来一段时期,中东局势还将在全球和地区大势下继续盘整,该地区地缘政治关系也将随之继续做适应性调整,并最终形成一个相互制衡的新常态。
[Abstract]:The "Islamic State" extremist group has become the biggest security threat affecting the stability of the Middle East region. The deterioration of the situation in Yemen also reflects the chaotic side of the security situation in the Middle East, but these do not reflect the whole picture of the current situation in the Middle East. To a large extent, it is the continuation of the reconfiguration of the geopolitical structure of the Middle East caused by the strategic adjustment of the United States and the regional instability of the Middle East caused by the changes in the Middle East. From the overall situation, with Egypt and other early transition countries are gradually "after the chaos seek treatment" transition, the Middle East on the whole has shown signs of gradual stability. New developments have also taken place on traditional hot issues such as the Palestinian issue and the Iranian nuclear issue. The adjusted strategic intention of the United States in the Middle East is becoming clearer, and the idea of building a new framework of mutual restraint and relative balance between the major Middle East countries is emerging. In the coming period, the situation in the Middle East will continue to consolidate in the global and regional situation, and the geopolitical relations in the region will continue to adjust adaptively, and finally a new normal of checks and balances will be formed.
【作者单位】：上海国际问题研究院外交政策研究所;
【分类号】：D815.4

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