南奥塞梯事件后美俄关系的现状和未来走向

发布时间：2018-06-14 22:20

本文选题：南奥塞梯事件 + 美俄关系　；参考：《山东大学》2010年硕士论文

【摘要】： 本文利用历史观察法,根据后冷战时代的美俄关系发展变化的轨迹、所呈现出的特点以及其背后的深层次的原因,深入分析了南奥塞梯事件的深刻影响及其后美俄关系的现状,并据此探讨了美俄关系未来的发展趋势。近年来美俄围绕北约东扩、东欧导弹防御系统、伊朗核问题、核不扩散、能源战略、军备竞赛、中亚颜色革命、独联体国家执政方式等问题的争斗显示,美俄关系的互动模式已经由原来的既争斗又合作的温和态势向“裂痕加深、对抗增强、合作有限”的态势悄然转变。而南奥塞梯事件则是美俄关系史上重要的转折点,成为美俄关系发展出现新态势的标志。此后,美俄双方的战略意图更加清晰,战略布局更具有针对性,战略实施更富有进攻性,双边关系重新回到其实质上来。美俄两国分别对各自的外交政策进行了深刻调整,双边关系经历了由激烈对抗到趋于缓和的过程,但制约双边关系的因素依然存在,从而使美俄关系变化多端,起伏不定。美俄双方长期存在的结构性矛盾是双方关系变化发展的根本性因素,美国为首的西方国家推行的对俄外交战略与俄罗斯国家对外发展战略的冲突,美俄在发展模式和价值理念上的分歧以及国际政治经济情势变化的影响等因素则是美俄关系新调整的重要因素。鉴于国际政治体系中冷战的客观条件已不复存在以及美俄在主观上避免重回冷战,因此双方重新爆发冷战的可能性极小。由于在追求共同利益中的相互需要、相互借重,美俄关系虽然呈现出局限性、阶段性和有节制抗衡的特点,但依然维持着脆弱的和平状态。
[Abstract]:Based on the track of the development and change of US-Russia relations in the post-Cold War era, the characteristics and the deep-seated reasons behind it, this paper makes a deep analysis of the profound influence of the South Ossetia incident and the current situation of the US-Russian relations after the post-Cold War era. Based on this, the future development trend of American-Russian relations is discussed. The recent struggles between the United States and Russia over NATO's eastward expansion, the missile defense system in Eastern Europe, the Iranian nuclear issue, nuclear non-proliferation, the energy strategy, the arms race, the color revolution in Central Asia, and the ruling style of the CIS countries have shown that The interactive mode of U.S.-Russia relations has quietly changed from the former moderate situation of fighting and cooperation to the situation of "deepening rift, strengthening confrontation and limited cooperation". The South Ossetia incident is an important turning point in the history of American-Russian relations and a symbol of the emergence of a new trend in the development of American-Russian relations. Since then, the strategic intention of the United States and Russia has become clearer, the strategic layout is more targeted, the implementation of the strategy is more offensive, and the bilateral relationship has returned to its essence. The United States and Russia have made profound adjustments to their respective foreign policies, and the bilateral relations have experienced a process from fierce confrontation to relaxation, but the factors restricting bilateral relations still exist, which makes the relations between the United States and Russia fluctuate and fluctuate. The long-standing structural contradiction between the United States and Russia is a fundamental factor in the change and development of bilateral relations. The conflict between the foreign development strategy of the Russian State and the diplomatic strategy of the United States-led Western countries, The differences in development model and value concept between the United States and Russia, as well as the influence of the change of international political and economic situation, are the important factors in the new adjustment of the relationship between the United States and Russia. In view of the fact that the objective conditions of the cold war no longer exist in the international political system and that the United States and Russia have to avoid returning to the cold war subjectively, the possibility of a new cold war between the two sides is extremely small. Because of the mutual need and mutual borrowing in the pursuit of common interests, the US-Russian relationship, although it presents the characteristics of limitation, stage and restraint, still maintains a fragile state of peace.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：D871.2

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