冷战后日俄关系的演变与发展趋势

发布时间：2018-06-18 22:00

本文选题：日俄关系 + 领土问题　；参考：《东北大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：冷战结束后,日苏关系转变为现在的日俄关系,在近20年的时间里,两国关系时好时坏,呈现出不稳定的特征。日俄关系的发展对亚洲尤其是东北亚地区也有着甚远的影响,对日俄关系的研究有着重要的意义。就冷战后日俄关系的演变与发展趋势研究,文章分为六章：第1章为绪论,主要阐述了论文的研究背景、目的和意义,介绍了日俄关系的国内外研究现状和成果,包括日本与俄国、日本与苏联关系的历史研究以及日本与俄罗斯的关系研究,同时还涉及日俄关系的影响因素研究和发展趋势研究；第2章介绍了国际关系的基本概念及基本内容,同时,介绍了日俄关系的概念以及基本内容,回顾了日俄关系和日苏关系的发展历史；第3章以俄罗斯领导人任期为基本的划分标准,将日俄关系分为三个阶段：叶利钦时代的日俄关系、普京时代的日俄关系和梅德韦杰夫时代的日俄关系。在叶利钦任期内,日俄关系因为日本政策的变动调整经历了三个阶段,即,日本坚持“政经不可分”、“扩大均衡”和“多层次接触”原则指导下的日俄关系,两国在此阶段政治、经济以及军事合作与交流频繁。在普京任期内,日俄间的政治关系两次跌入低谷,两国领导人通过外交访问缓解了紧张氛围,两国还就领土问题、能源问题和全球性问题启动了战略对话机制。两国间的经贸关系在这一阶段得到了较大的提升。此外,两国在军事合作领域发展较为稳定,进行了数次军事演习,两国间的军事交流深化；第4章是对日俄关系发展的影响因素的探析。领土问题是影响日俄关系的关键因素,领土问题不能彻底解决两国间的其他合作便会受到限制,无法进行充分合作。国内政局稳定与否也是影响两国间关系发展的重要因素,没有稳定国内政局,一国就无法正常的对外开展外交活动。此外,两国间的经济合作程度也是不可忽视的影响因素。最后,国际因素对两国间的关系也产生着很大的影响；第5章对日俄关系的发展趋势提出两种假设,一是随着两国间的战略需求进一步增大以及两国在地区层面的合作加深,日俄在综合考虑之后可能绕过领土问题,缔结和约以促成其他方面的深度发展。二是两国关系难以正常,继续维持现状。第6章对日俄关系的发展方向进行了总结,认为日俄关系会走向更好的发展轨道,同时提出了对中国的启示。随着日俄政治经济实力的增强两国间的交流必然会更加频繁,迫切要求日俄关系一定会取得更大的发展,不会局限于现阶段的日俄关系,因此,两国极有可能绕过领土问题,签署和平条约,取得更大发展。
[Abstract]:After the end of the Cold War, the Japan-Soviet relations changed into the present Japan-Russian relations. In the past 20 years, the relations between the two countries have been good and bad, showing the characteristics of instability. The development of Japanese-Russian relations has a great influence on Asia, especially in Northeast Asia, and is of great significance to the study of Japanese-Russian relations. The article is divided into six chapters on the evolution and development trend of Japan-Russia relations after the Cold War. The first chapter is the introduction, which mainly expounds the research background, purpose and significance of the thesis, and introduces the domestic and foreign research status and achievements of Japan-Russia relations. It includes the historical research of Japan-Russia, Japan-Soviet relations and the research of Japan-Russian relations, and the research of influencing factors and developing trend of Japanese-Russian relations. The second chapter introduces the basic concepts and contents of international relations. At the same time, it introduces the concepts and contents of Japan-Russian relations, and reviews the history of the development of Japanese-Russian relations and Japanese-Soviet relations. The third chapter divides the Japanese-Russian relations into three stages: the Japanese-Russian relations in the Yeltsin era, the Japanese-Russian relations in the Putin era and the Japanese-Russian relations in the Medvedev era. During Yeltsin's term of office, Japan-Russian relations went through three stages because of the changes in Japan's policy, namely, Japan's adherence to the principle of "inseparable politics and economy", "expanding balance" and "multi-level contacts" guiding Japan-Russia relations. At this stage, political, economic, and military cooperation and exchanges between the two countries are frequent. During Putin's term, political relations between Japan and Russia fell twice, with leaders of the two countries easing tensions through diplomatic visits and launching a strategic dialogue mechanism on territorial issues, energy issues and global issues. The economic and trade relations between the two countries have been greatly enhanced at this stage. In addition, the two countries have developed steadily in the field of military cooperation, conducted several military exercises and deepened military exchanges between the two countries. Chapter 4 is an analysis of the factors affecting the development of Japanese-Russian relations. The territorial issue is a key factor affecting Japanese-Russian relations, and other cooperation between the two countries will be restricted if the territorial issue is not solved thoroughly. The stability of domestic political situation is also an important factor affecting the development of relations between the two countries. Without the stability of domestic political situation, a country can not carry out diplomatic activities normally. In addition, the degree of economic cooperation between the two countries can not be ignored. Finally, international factors also have a great impact on the relations between the two countries. Chapter 5 puts forward two hypotheses on the development trend of Japanese-Russian relations. One is as the strategic demand between the two countries further increases and the cooperation between the two countries at the regional level deepens. After a comprehensive consideration, Japan and Russia may bypass territorial issues and conclude peace agreements to promote deep development in other areas. Second, relations between the two countries are difficult to normal and continue to maintain the status quo. Chapter 6 summarizes the development direction of Japanese-Russian relations, and points out that Japan-Russian relations will move towards a better development track, and at the same time, puts forward some enlightenment to China. With the strengthening of the political and economic strength of Japan and Russia, exchanges between the two countries will inevitably become more frequent. It is urgently demanded that Japan-Russian relations will definitely achieve greater development and will not be confined to the present Japan-Russian relations. Therefore, it is highly likely that the two countries will bypass the territorial issue. The signing of the peace treaty has made greater progress.
【学位授予单位】：东北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：D831.3

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