联盟管理的核心动力机制研究

发布时间：2018-06-28 03:30

本文选题：联盟管理 + 相互制约　；参考：《复旦大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：本文主要探讨联盟管理过程中盟友之间互动的动态机制。通过归纳和推理,笔者发现联盟维持和管理的机制是相互制约。而盟友之间的权力对比和意图匹配程度决定了盟友间相互制约的成败,并最终影响联盟的命运。按权力对比,联盟可以区分为对称性联盟和非对称性联盟。按联盟内部的国家意图,联盟可以区分为防御性联盟和进攻性联盟。这样,联盟将至少有四个“理想型”。每一个“理想型”都存在自身特有的互动动态。总的来说,在对称性联盟中,若盟友意图一致,则彼此相互制约易于成功,联盟容易管理；反之,则不易管理。非对称性联盟中,只有当强国为防御性现实主义国家、弱国为进攻性现实主义国家时,相互制约难以实现,联盟才较难管理；其他情况下,联盟管理相对容易。随后,文章通过第一次世界大战前的法俄联盟、20世纪50年代之后的中苏联盟以及20世纪50年代之后的美日联盟作为案例,对本文提出的联盟管理理论进行验证。
[Abstract]:This paper mainly discusses the dynamic mechanism of the interaction between allies in the process of alliance management. Through induction and reasoning, the author finds that the mechanism of alliance maintenance and management is mutual restriction. The degree of power contrast and intention matching between allies determines the success or failure of mutual restriction between allies and ultimately affects the fate of alliance. According to the power contrast, the alliance can be divided into symmetric alliance and asymmetric alliance. The alliance can be divided into defensive alliance and offensive alliance according to the national intention within the alliance. In this way, the alliance will have at least four "ideal" types. Each "ideal type" has its own unique interactive dynamics. In general, if the allies have the same intention, the mutual restriction is easy to succeed and the alliance is easy to manage; otherwise, it is difficult to manage. In asymmetric alliance, it is difficult to manage the alliance only when the powerful country is a defensive realism country, the weak country is an offensive realistic country, the mutual restriction is difficult to realize, and in other cases, the alliance management is relatively easy. Then, the paper verifies the theory of alliance management by the alliance of France and Russia before the first World War and the alliance between China and the Soviet Union after the 1950s and the alliance between the United States and Japan after the 1950s.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：D80

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