如何辩证地看待中国在非洲的国际处境——兼论中国何以在大国在非洲新一轮竞争中赢得“战略主动”

发布时间：2018-07-06 20:13

本文选题：中非关系 + 西方大国　；参考：《西亚非洲》2014年04期

【摘要】：得益于20世纪80年代初期的"政策储备"、90年代中期以来的"能量储备",以及世纪之交的"规划发展",中国在20世纪最后10年的"大国与非洲关系"中把握了战略先机,进而在2l世纪第一个10年"大国在非洲关系"中,即在大国在非洲新一轮的攻防态势上赢得了某种程度的"战略主动"。中国在大国在非洲利益存在和力量结构中排位的提升,不仅增强了中国在大国与非洲关系中的地位和影响力,而且也使得中国在大国在非洲的竞争中处于更加有利的位置。不过,鉴于中国在非洲的"战略主动"系持续加大对非工作力度之"副产品",是"无心插柳"偶得之作;尤其是鉴于现阶段大国在非洲的整体力量结构依旧是"西强我弱",随着近年来西方大国以"反恐维安"之名强化其在非洲军事布局,中国在非洲活动的自由度乃至战略空间或将受到挤压;加之,中非合作关系及中国对非战略的结构性缺憾,因此,中国在大国在非洲"竞合"关系中并不占据战略优势,其"战略主动"也不具备可持续性。
[Abstract]:Thanks to the "policy reserve" in the early 1980s and the "energy reserve" since the mid-1990s, and the "planning and development" at the turn of the century, China grasped the strategic opportunity in the last decade of the 20th century, "the relationship between the Great Powers and Africa". Furthermore, in the first decade of the 21st century, "the relations of great powers in Africa", that is, in the new attack and defense situation of great powers in Africa, won a certain degree of "strategic initiative". The promotion of China's position in the interest and power structure of African powers not only strengthens China's position and influence in the relations between great powers and Africa, but also makes China a more favorable position in the competition of great powers in Africa. However, in view of China's "strategic initiative" in Africa is to continue to increase efforts to Africa "by-product", is "inadvertently inserted willow" occasionally; Especially in view of the fact that the overall power structure of the major powers in Africa is still "strong and weak in the west" at the present stage, with the Western powers strengthening their military layout in Africa in the name of "anti-terrorism security" in recent years, The degree of freedom and even the strategic space of China's activities in Africa may be squeezed. In addition, because of the Sino-African cooperative relations and the structural shortcomings of China's strategy towards Africa, China does not occupy a strategic advantage in the "competing" relations of great powers in Africa. Its "strategic initiative" is also not sustainable.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所;
【分类号】：D822.34

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