战后中日关系的轨迹、特征与走向

发布时间：2018-08-25 07:13

【摘要】：战后70年中日关系的位序,从大历史尤其是文明史的角度看,总体处于"非常态"但后期开始向"常态"转换过渡的阶段。从70年的小时段来看,则是从不正常状态向正常关系的演变过程。70年关系演进的五个具体逻辑阶段是:起于不正常的出发点、谋求走向关系正常化、进入利好条件下的"蜜月期"、经历调整转型的过渡期、迈入战略格局相对成型的"新常态"。70年中,中日关系各重要组成要素显现出并不完全同步的演化方向。以邦交正常化为节点,后半期更具现实意义的关系发展特征表现在:战略关系变质、经贸往来热温、"政经分离"固化、军事因素凸显、国际竞争加剧、国民感情恶化、干预变量纷乱等。未来中日关系走向,主要取决于在复杂的国际背景下,两国各自发展前景、战略选择及互动调适的合力结果。
[Abstract]:From the point of view of the great history, especially the history of civilization, the order of Sino-Japanese relations in the 70 years after the war is generally in the stage of "abnormal" but the transition from "normal" to "normal" in the later period. Looking from the small period of 70 years, it is the evolution process from abnormal state to normal relationship. The five specific logical stages of the evolution of relationship in 70 years are: starting from the abnormal starting point, seeking to normalize the relationship. Entering the "honeymoon period" under favorable conditions, going through the transitional period of adjustment and transformation, and stepping into the "new normal" in which the strategic pattern is relatively shaped, the important elements of Sino-Japanese relations have shown a direction of evolution which is not completely synchronized. With the normalization of diplomatic relations as the node, the more realistic characteristics of the relationship development in the latter half of the period are: the deterioration of strategic relations, the warm economic and trade exchanges, the solidification of "political and economic separation", the prominent military factors, the intensification of international competition, and the deterioration of national feelings. The intervention variables are chaotic. The future trend of Sino-Japanese relations mainly depends on the combined results of the two countries' respective development prospects, strategic choices and interactive adjustment under the complex international background.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院日本研究所;
【分类号】：D822.331.3

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