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安倍第二任期日朝关系新变化探析

发布时间:2018-09-14 19:58
【摘要】:通过两国间的积极接触,日朝关系近期出现了松动。朝鲜成立"特别调查委员会"以重启对"绑架问题"的全面调查。与此同时,日本以部分解除对朝鲜制裁的方式予以回应。然而这一变化并不意味着两国关系将会出现根本性的转变,也不会改变日朝关系在战后日本国家战略中独特而重要的地位。无论是"一揽子计划",还是被置于独立的优先地位,"绑架问题"及其解决都已经成为日本推进其战后国家战略的手段。安倍第二任期对朝政策的调整,实际上是在内政压力与外交困境下的选择,并没有摆脱冷战后日朝关系的内在逻辑。受制于日美同盟关系和美日韩三边协调机制,当前日朝关系的松动是脆弱的,其再进一步实现突破的可能性有限。
[Abstract]:Through positive contacts between the two countries, relations between Japan and North Korea have recently been loosened. North Korea has set up a "special commission of inquiry" to reopen a full investigation into the kidnapping issue. Japan, meanwhile, responded in part by lifting sanctions against North Korea. However, this change does not mean that there will be a fundamental change in the relations between the two countries, nor will it change the unique and important position of Japanese-DPRK relations in Japan's national strategy after the war. Whether it is a "package" or a priority for independence, "kidnapping" and its solution have become a means for Japan to advance its postwar national strategy. The adjustment of Abe's policy to North Korea in his second term is in fact a choice under internal pressure and diplomatic predicament, and does not get rid of the internal logic of Japan-DPRK relations after the Cold War. Constrained by the Japan-US alliance and the trilateral coordination mechanism between the United States, Japan and South Korea, the current loosening of Japan-DPRK relations is fragile, and the possibility of further breakthrough is limited.
【作者单位】: 天津外国语大学东北亚研究中心;延边大学人文社会科学学院;
【基金】:国家社会科学基金项目(项目批准号:12BGJ005) 延边大学朝鲜半岛研究协同创新中心重点项目资助
【分类号】:D831.3;D831.25


本文编号:2243720

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