中新关系前景:新加坡面临的新挑战

发布时间：2018-11-01 19:20

【摘要】：中新建交后的20多年中,双方关系日趋牢固。牢固的经济关系广泛地支撑着双方贸易、对外直接投资和频繁的高层交流。这种双边关系,如果不能正式宣布具有"特殊性",通常被冠以"独一无二"的特性。过去,历史、地理、移民和文化亲和性在推进双边关系紧密的发展中都起着重要作用。邓小平在1992年"南方谈话"中对新加坡有利的言辞无疑为这种关系的发展奠定了坚实的基础。就新加坡一方来说,能够主动建立两国政府间标杆项目——新加坡-苏州工业园区和新中天津生态城,进一步加强了这种独特双边关系的政治和经济基础,这在双方看来是双赢的。任何特殊关系都不可能永远保持这种特殊性,国家之间的关系通常受到地缘政治和地缘经济力量持续动态变化的影响。很明显,中新关系的紧密性和稳固性面临着即将到来的挑战,包括中国的崛起、由中国南海领土争端引起的东南亚国家联盟和中国关系的地缘政治转变以及美国在奥巴马所谓重返亚洲政策影响下返回亚洲地区这一战略举措。展望未来,两国应当继续做出努力来确保双方的紧密关系,但是,作为实力更为弱小的一方,新加坡将面临更为严峻的挑战。
[Abstract]:In the more than 20 years since the establishment of diplomatic ties between China and China, relations between the two sides have become stronger and stronger. Strong economic ties widely support bilateral trade, foreign direct investment and frequent high-level exchanges. This bilateral relationship, if not formally declared to be "special," is often characterized as "unique". In the past, history, geography, immigration, and cultural affinity have played an important role in the development of close bilateral relations. Deng Xiaoping's favorable words in the South talks in 1992 undoubtedly laid a solid foundation for the development of this relationship. As far as Singapore is concerned, being able to take the initiative to set up a benchmark project between the two governments-the Singapore-Suzhou Industrial Park and the New Central Tianjin Ecological City-has further strengthened the political and economic foundation of this unique bilateral relationship. This seems to both sides to be a win-win. No special relationship can keep this particularity forever. The relations between countries are usually influenced by the continuous dynamic changes of geopolitical and geo-economic forces. It is clear that the closeness and stability of China-Singapore relations are facing upcoming challenges, including the rise of China. A geopolitical shift in relations between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and China over territorial disputes over the South China Sea and a strategic move by the United States to return to the region under the influence of Obama's alleged return to Asia. Looking ahead, the two countries should continue their efforts to ensure close ties, but Singapore, the weaker side, will face more serious challenges.
【作者单位】：新加坡国立大学东亚研究所;河南师范大学外国语学院;
【分类号】：D822.333.9

【共引文献】