乌克兰危机、俄欧能源博弈与伊核问题全面破局

发布时间：2018-11-02 08:11

【摘要】：乌克兰危机致使俄罗斯与西方矛盾进一步激化;与此同时,双方的能源博弈也达到新的烈度,集中体现于更加激烈的油气管道走向以及与之密切相关的气源地的争夺上。伊朗具有巨大能源潜力和显著的地缘优势,因此,在乌克兰危机背景下,其在俄罗斯与西方的能源博弈中愈加成为双方重点关注的对象。对西方、特别是欧盟而言,解除对伊朗的经济制裁是发挥伊朗的能源潜力、有效应对俄罗斯的必要条件,而解除对伊朗的制裁与限制伊朗的核活动密切相关,这就增强了早日达成伊核问题全面协议的必要性;同时,在乌克兰危机背景下,俄罗斯支持伊核问题全面破局对其有特殊的政治意义,而且"破局"本身虽然会对其产生一些负面影响,但也为其发展与伊朗的经贸关系提供了机会。
[Abstract]:The Ukraine crisis has intensified the conflict between Russia and the West, and at the same time, the energy game between the two sides has reached a new intensity, mainly reflected in the more intense oil and gas pipeline trend and closely related to the competition for gas sources. Iran has great energy potential and significant geographical advantage. Therefore, in the context of Ukraine crisis, Iran has become the focus of attention in the energy game between Russia and the West. For the West, especially the European Union, lifting economic sanctions against Iran is a necessary condition for the development of Iran's energy potential and effective response to Russia, and the lifting of sanctions against Iran is closely related to restrictions on Iran's nuclear activities. This reinforces the need for an early comprehensive agreement on the Iraqi nuclear issue; At the same time, in the context of the crisis in Ukraine, Russia's support for the full breakdown of the Iranian nuclear issue has special political significance for it, and although the "break-up" itself will have some negative impact on it, But it also offers an opportunity to develop economic and trade ties with Iran.
【作者单位】：安徽财经大学法学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社科研究规划基金项目“伊朗核问题的全面破局态势及中国的对策研究”(15YJAGJW006)的阶段性研究成果
【分类号】：D815

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