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特朗普“百日新政”的外交态势

发布时间:2018-12-12 19:01
【摘要】:评价特朗普"百日新政"的外交表现,离不开对其前任外交遗产的评价。美国社会舆论对奥巴马外交的评价毁誉参半,折射出对美国外交发展方向的深层思考。这是特朗普外交不可忽视的民情民意,约束其欲在外交上彻底推翻前任的冲动。从第一个100天的外交新政看,特朗普确立了外交服务于国内议程的宗旨,塑造了贸易与安全两大外交议题,继续以中东、欧洲、亚太三大地缘板块为战略抓手,体现出一个"学习曲线"的进程。随着特朗普外交与安全班子内部对于决策影响力的争夺日益浮现,预计今后决策可能趋于自律和谨慎,但不排除局部战略冒进的可能。中美关系将迎来一个艰难的磨合期,摩擦与合作、挑战与机遇并存。
[Abstract]:The diplomatic performance of Trump's 100-day New deal depends on his predecessor's diplomatic legacy. The comments of American public opinion on Obama's diplomacy are mixed, reflecting the deep thinking about the direction of American diplomacy. This is a popular sentiment that Trump's diplomacy cannot ignore, constraining his desire to overthrow his predecessor completely. Judging from the first 100-day diplomatic New deal, Trump established the purpose of diplomatic service to the domestic agenda, shaped the two major diplomatic issues of trade and security, and continued to focus on the three major geopolitical sectors of the Middle East, Europe and the Asia-Pacific. Reflects a "learning curve" of the process. With a growing scramble for decision-making influence within Trump's diplomatic and security team, decisions are expected to become self-disciplined and cautious in the future, but local strategy may not be ruled out. Sino-US relations will usher in a difficult period of running-in, friction and cooperation, challenges and opportunities coexist.
【作者单位】: 中国国际问题研究院美国研究所;
【分类号】:D871.2

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