美朝关系正常化的可能性路径及其对中国周边外交的影响
发布时间：2018-12-14 00:23
【摘要】：朝鲜战争之后,美朝关系一直是影响东北亚政治、经济和安全的重要因素之一,美朝关系能否走向正常化成为本文关切的问题。文章主要阐述美朝关系正常化历经的三个时期——美朝全面敌对时期、"交叉承认"议案博弈期和边缘核战争对冲期,论述双边关系难以正常化的瓶颈——朝核问题、韩国因素和美国因素,探索双边关系正常化的三个可能性路径——非常手段路径、机制内路径和机制外路径,尝试提出促成朝鲜半岛和平机制与美朝关系正常化的预案,深入分析美朝关系正常化对中国周边外交的影响。
[Abstract]:After the Korean War, US-DPRK relations have been one of the important factors affecting the politics, economy and security of Northeast Asia. This paper mainly expounds the three periods of normalization of US-DPRK relations, namely, the period of all-out hostility between the United States and North Korea, the game period of "cross-recognition" motion and the hedging period of marginal nuclear war, and discusses the bottleneck of bilateral relations which is difficult to normalize, namely, the nuclear issue of North Korea. The South Korean factor and the United States factor explore the three possible paths of normalization of bilateral relations, namely, the extraordinary means path, the internal path and the external path, and try to put forward a preliminary plan to bring about the normalization of the peace mechanism on the Korean Peninsula and the normalization of US-DPRK relations. Deeply analyze the influence of the normalization of US-DPRK relations on China's peripheral diplomacy.
【作者单位】： 复旦大学国际问题研究院;
【基金】：2013年度国家社会科学基金青年项目“中国国际人道主义援助战略研究”(13CZZ057)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：D871.2;D8312.5;D822
，
本文编号：2377539
[Abstract]:After the Korean War, US-DPRK relations have been one of the important factors affecting the politics, economy and security of Northeast Asia. This paper mainly expounds the three periods of normalization of US-DPRK relations, namely, the period of all-out hostility between the United States and North Korea, the game period of "cross-recognition" motion and the hedging period of marginal nuclear war, and discusses the bottleneck of bilateral relations which is difficult to normalize, namely, the nuclear issue of North Korea. The South Korean factor and the United States factor explore the three possible paths of normalization of bilateral relations, namely, the extraordinary means path, the internal path and the external path, and try to put forward a preliminary plan to bring about the normalization of the peace mechanism on the Korean Peninsula and the normalization of US-DPRK relations. Deeply analyze the influence of the normalization of US-DPRK relations on China's peripheral diplomacy.
【作者单位】： 复旦大学国际问题研究院;
【基金】：2013年度国家社会科学基金青年项目“中国国际人道主义援助战略研究”(13CZZ057)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：D871.2;D8312.5;D822
，
本文编号：2377539
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