利益变化、角色转换和关系均衡——特朗普时期中美关系发展趋势
发布时间：2019-01-18 18:57
【摘要】：特朗普当选美国总统之后,美国外交出现新动向,中美关系也面临新的变数。特朗普政府对于美国国家利益的认知和排序有了新的调整,这和中国政府对于中国国家利益的排序与认知形成新的互动。以利益变化为基础,在特朗普时期中美将出现五大领域的角色转换,预示着中美关系在中短期内的双边互动模式。长期而言,中美关系的发展趋势是走向均衡。特朗普当选可能是加速了中美关系均衡时代的到来。中美两国在实力大致接近的均衡阶段,要尽快形成彼此认同和接受的秩序安排,共同促成权力的共处或者转移。
[Abstract]:After Trump's election as US president, there are new trends in American diplomacy and new variables in the relations between China and the United States. The Trump administration has made a new adjustment to the understanding and ranking of the national interests of the United States, which has formed a new interaction with the Chinese government's understanding of the national interests of China. Based on the change of interests, there will be a change of roles between China and the United States in five major areas during the Trump period, which indicates the pattern of bilateral interaction between China and the United States in the short and medium term. In the long run, the trend of development of Sino-American relations is towards equilibrium. Trump's election may have hastened the arrival of an era of balanced relations between China and the United States. China and the United States, at the equilibrium stage of roughly approaching strength, should form an order arrangement of mutual recognition and acceptance as soon as possible so as to jointly promote the coexistence or transfer of power.
【作者单位】： 复旦大学美国研究中心;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“提高中国在全球经济治理中的制度性话语权”(项目号:15ZDC038)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：D822.371.2
本文编号：2411012
[Abstract]:After Trump's election as US president, there are new trends in American diplomacy and new variables in the relations between China and the United States. The Trump administration has made a new adjustment to the understanding and ranking of the national interests of the United States, which has formed a new interaction with the Chinese government's understanding of the national interests of China. Based on the change of interests, there will be a change of roles between China and the United States in five major areas during the Trump period, which indicates the pattern of bilateral interaction between China and the United States in the short and medium term. In the long run, the trend of development of Sino-American relations is towards equilibrium. Trump's election may have hastened the arrival of an era of balanced relations between China and the United States. China and the United States, at the equilibrium stage of roughly approaching strength, should form an order arrangement of mutual recognition and acceptance as soon as possible so as to jointly promote the coexistence or transfer of power.
【作者单位】： 复旦大学美国研究中心;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“提高中国在全球经济治理中的制度性话语权”(项目号:15ZDC038)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：D822.371.2
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