单极体系联盟困境研究
发布时间：2019-05-07 23:49
【摘要】： 在国际安全领域,安全困境问题被广泛讨论,尤其是军备竞赛引起的安全两难。上世纪八十年代,国家联盟,尤其是大国联盟引起的联盟安全困境被广泛关注,成为安全困境研究新的议题。在格伦·斯奈德的经典的论文《联盟政治的安全困境》中,他令人信服地得出了联盟困境的两难结论:过分紧密和过分松散的联盟状态都会给国际安全造成的某种形式的不稳定;两极化的权力分配格局使得联盟困境问题相对简化,多极化的权力分配格局加剧了联盟中的安全困境问题。由于时代原因,身处冷战时期的作者并未进一步研究单极体系中的联盟困境,冷战结束至今,美国的单极霸权已经持续二十年,且短期内并没有霸权转移或者消亡的迹象。因此,研究单极体系下大国联盟问题,不论在学术研究上还是在政策制定上,都很有必要。本文首先从理论上分析单极体系下联盟困境的形式与特征,再以第一次柏林危机事件中的西方联盟和三四十年代的德意联盟、准联盟关系为案例对联盟困境进行考察,验证理论内容。最后得出结论:单极体系下联盟困境问题依然存在,但由于单极体系联盟通常是权力非对称性的,因而表现特征不同于经典联盟困境理论所设想的那样,联盟困境对联盟中的主导国来说不算严重,风险由联盟伙伴承担。?
[Abstract]:In the field of international security, the problem of security dilemma has been widely discussed, especially the security dilemma caused by the arms race. In the eighties of last century, the security dilemma caused by national alliance, especially the alliance of great powers, was paid more and more attention, and became a new topic in the study of security dilemma. In Glenn Snyder's classic paper, the Security Dilemma of Alliance Politics, He convincingly came to the conclusion that a state of alliance that was too close and too loose would cause some form of instability to international security; The bipolar distribution pattern of power makes the dilemma of alliance relatively simplified, and the multi-polarization pattern of power distribution aggravates the security dilemma of alliance. For the reasons of the times, the authors in the Cold War period did not further study the alliance dilemma in the unipolar system. Since the end of the Cold War, the unipolar hegemony of the United States has lasted for 20 years, and there is no sign of hegemony shifting or dying in a short period of time. Therefore, it is necessary to study the problem of alliance of great powers under unipolar system, both in academic research and in policy-making. This paper first analyzes the form and characteristics of alliance dilemma under unipolar system, and then examines the alliance dilemma with the western alliance in the first Berlin crisis, the German-Italian alliance in the 1930s and 1940s, and the quasi-alliance relationship as a case study. Verify the content of the theory. Finally, it is concluded that the problem of alliance dilemma still exists in unipolar system, but because the unipolar alliance is usually asymmetric in power, the performance characteristics of unipolar alliance are different from those envisaged in classical alliance dilemma theory. The alliance dilemma is not serious for the leading countries in the alliance, and the risks are borne by the alliance partners.
【学位授予单位】：外交学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：D815
本文编号：2471459
[Abstract]:In the field of international security, the problem of security dilemma has been widely discussed, especially the security dilemma caused by the arms race. In the eighties of last century, the security dilemma caused by national alliance, especially the alliance of great powers, was paid more and more attention, and became a new topic in the study of security dilemma. In Glenn Snyder's classic paper, the Security Dilemma of Alliance Politics, He convincingly came to the conclusion that a state of alliance that was too close and too loose would cause some form of instability to international security; The bipolar distribution pattern of power makes the dilemma of alliance relatively simplified, and the multi-polarization pattern of power distribution aggravates the security dilemma of alliance. For the reasons of the times, the authors in the Cold War period did not further study the alliance dilemma in the unipolar system. Since the end of the Cold War, the unipolar hegemony of the United States has lasted for 20 years, and there is no sign of hegemony shifting or dying in a short period of time. Therefore, it is necessary to study the problem of alliance of great powers under unipolar system, both in academic research and in policy-making. This paper first analyzes the form and characteristics of alliance dilemma under unipolar system, and then examines the alliance dilemma with the western alliance in the first Berlin crisis, the German-Italian alliance in the 1930s and 1940s, and the quasi-alliance relationship as a case study. Verify the content of the theory. Finally, it is concluded that the problem of alliance dilemma still exists in unipolar system, but because the unipolar alliance is usually asymmetric in power, the performance characteristics of unipolar alliance are different from those envisaged in classical alliance dilemma theory. The alliance dilemma is not serious for the leading countries in the alliance, and the risks are borne by the alliance partners.
【学位授予单位】：外交学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：D815
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