全球视角下五次战略机遇期与中日发展简论

发布时间：2018-06-03 17:52

本文选题：战略机遇期 + 中国　；参考：《曲阜师范大学》2011年硕士论文

【摘要】：自15世纪以来,整体世界历史的发展已出现过五次战略机遇期。日本在第三次战略机遇期崛起,而中国则错失了四次战略机遇期。面对新世纪出现的第五次战略机遇期,中日该如何应对,更是备受国人关注。笔者以自15世纪以来世界整体历史发展进程中的历次战略机遇期为经,以中日两国的应对举措及发展状况为纬,进行系统地梳理和阐述,并在综合比较的基础上,就中日两国未来的应对策略谈些粗浅认识。首先,对战略机遇期的内涵和分期进行了界定和说明。战略机遇期是客观时机与具有较高目标追求的国家总体战略之间有条件形成可持续的良性互动关系的时期。从全球视角看,自15世纪以来,先后出现过五次战略机遇期,即：地理大发现时期、第一次科技革命时期(大致在18世纪60年代至19世纪中期)、第二次科技革命时期(大致在19世纪70年代至20世纪初)、二战后(二战结束至20世纪70年代初)及目前出现的新战略机遇期。在分期上,笔者赞同学术界诸多观点中最为详尽全面的五次说。其次,就中日在近代三次战略机遇期时的应对举措及发展状况进行了比较。应当说,面对前两次战略机遇期,中日两国的应对举措及其发展境况大致相同,都经过了出锁国到被迫开国的发展历程。而在第三次战略机遇期,中日都掀起了富国强兵的近代化运动,但结果却一成一败,从而导致了近代中日两国的不同命运。再次,对战后第四次战略机遇期中的中日两国进行了比较。在这一机遇期,日本在美国的庇护和自身努力下,创造了震惊世界的“日本奇迹”；中国却因内战和建国后的自我封闭,使国家在发展道路上举步维艰。第四,重点分析了新战略机遇期来临时我国面临的机遇与挑战,并坚持以走和平崛起的道路来应对挑战；而此时的日本却在政治和经济方面遇到了问题,在强大的科技实力和经济基础支撑下,日本正朝着梦寐以求的政治、军事大国的目标迈进。中日两国在五次战略机遇期中应对举措的成败得失一再昭示我们：抓住机遇才能赢得主动；要善于发现和利用机遇期,制定切实可行的应对方略和政策举措；要改革开放,在追逐世界发展的大潮中进取超越。
[Abstract]:Since the 15 th century, the development of the whole world history has had five strategic opportunity periods. Japan rose in the third strategic opportunity period, while China missed four strategic opportunity periods. In the face of the fifth strategic opportunity period in the new century, China and Japan pay more attention to how to deal with it. Taking the strategic opportunity periods in the whole development process of the world since the 15th century as the basis, taking the coping measures and development conditions of China and Japan as the latitude, the author systematically combs and expounds, and on the basis of comprehensive comparison, On the future of China and Japan to talk about the strategy of some superficial understanding. Firstly, the connotation and stages of strategic opportunity period are defined and explained. The period of strategic opportunity is a period in which the relationship between objective opportunity and the overall strategy of a country with higher goals can form a sustainable and benign interaction. From a global perspective, since the 15th century, there have been five periods of strategic opportunity, namely, the period of great geographical discovery. The first scientific and technological revolution period (roughly from the 18th century to the middle of the 19th century, the second scientific and technological revolution period (roughly from the 1870s to the early 20th century), after the second world war (from the end of the second world war to the early 1970s) and the The period of new strategic opportunity that appeared before. In stages, I agree with the academic community of the most detailed and comprehensive five views. Secondly, the paper compares the countermeasures and development of China and Japan in the three strategic opportunity periods in modern times. It should be said that in the face of the first two periods of strategic opportunities, China and Japan's response measures and their development situation are roughly the same, both through the locked out of the country to be forced to establish the development process. In the third strategic opportunity period, both China and Japan set off a modern movement of rich nations and strong soldiers, but the result was 10% defeat, which led to the different fates of China and Japan in modern times. Thirdly, it compares China and Japan in the fourth strategic opportunity period after the war. In this period of opportunity, Japan, under the protection of the United States and its own efforts, created a "Japanese miracle" that shocked the world. However, because of the civil war and the self-closure after the founding of the people's Republic of China, the country struggled on the road to development. Fourth, it analyzes the opportunities and challenges that our country will face when the new strategic opportunity period comes, and insists on taking the path of peaceful rise to meet the challenge. At this time, Japan has encountered political and economic problems. Backed by a strong scientific and technological base, Japan is moving towards its coveted goal of a political and military power. The success or failure of China and Japan's response in the five strategic opportunity periods have repeatedly demonstrated that we should seize the opportunity to win the initiative; be good at discovering and taking advantage of the opportunity period, formulate practical strategies and policies for dealing with it; and reform and opening up to the outside world. In the pursuit of world development in the tide of enterprising surpassing.
【学位授予单位】：曲阜师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2011
【分类号】：K14

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