论赵烈文的政治预见

发布时间：2018-05-12 20:15

  本文选题：赵烈文 + 曾国藩　； 参考：《甘肃社会科学》2014年04期

【摘要】：1867年6月20日,曾国藩的幕僚赵烈文在与曾国藩谈到国家的未来时曾预言清朝在五十年内必亡。对清政府崩溃的形式和日期,以及清朝中央政权垮台后的国内形势都做出了精确的预言。赵烈文主要是从历史大势、清朝统治道德合法性的缺失、民族矛盾、清朝中央政府权威的丧失及其引发的政治危机、清朝统治集团能力等几个方面来判断清朝将五十年内崩溃。之后,中国近代历史发展的轨迹基本应验了赵烈文的预言。赵烈文的预见性主要基于他对历史、现状深刻的了解和认知之上。
[Abstract]:On June 20 th, 1867, Zhao Liwen, Zeng Guofan's chief of staff, spoke with Zeng Guofan about the future of the country, predicting that the Qing Dynasty would die within 50 years. The form and date of the collapse of the Qing government and the domestic situation after the collapse of the Central Government of the Qing Dynasty were accurately predicted. Zhao Liwen mainly judged the collapse of the Qing Dynasty within 50 years from the following aspects: the general trend of history, the lack of moral legitimacy in the Qing Dynasty, the ethnic contradictions, the loss of the authority of the central government of the Qing Dynasty and the political crisis caused by the loss of the authority of the Central Government of the Qing Dynasty and the ability of the ruling clique of the Qing Dynasty. After that, the track of Chinese modern history basically fulfilled Zhao Liwen's prophecy. Zhao Liwen's foresight is mainly based on his profound understanding and cognition of history and present situation.
【作者单位】： 中州大学;
【分类号】：K249
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本文编号：1880003