产业关联水平对碳排放演化的影响机理及效应研究——基于欧盟27国投入产出数据的实证分析

发布时间：2018-01-01 19:44

本文关键词：产业关联水平对碳排放演化的影响机理及效应研究——基于欧盟27国投入产出数据的实证分析　出处：《自然资源学报》2017年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：碳排放逐步升高是以工业化为特征的区域经济崛起的必然结果。论文的理论研究说明,产业关联水平反映了区域发展过程中产业多样化和分工细化的程度,相较于产业结构,产业关联水平对区域经济发展水平的指示意义更深刻。那么,产业关联水平对碳排放的影响特征及其趋势将更接近于碳排放在经济发展驱动下的演进规律。因此,论文采用欧盟27国投入产出数据,在测算不同类型制造业和服务业的产业关联水平的基础上,确定不同类型制造业所对应的特征服务业类型,进而应用经济计量学工具对制造业与服务业产业关联度对碳排放的影响进行实证分析,结果显示:第一,作为发达经济体,欧盟的制造业与服务业整体间产业关联度对碳排放具有显著负效应;第二,低端、中端和高端制造业与各自对应特征服务业类型间产业关联度对碳排放的影响均较为显著,其强度呈现随制造业水平升级而先上升、后下降的趋势;第三,高端制造业与生产性、分配性服务业间产业关联度的提高是实现区域碳排放达到峰值并逐步下降的重要动力,而中端制造业与其对应特征服务业关联度提升对碳排放的正向效应将高于低端制造业主导时期。因此,结合发达经济体的发展经验可以发现,碳排放的演化具有规律性特征,而以产业关联度入手的分析能够提供操作性更强的参考。目前,中国应在推动产业结构升级结构的过程中,大力提升生产性服务业的发展水平及其与制造业的关联水平,并采取积极措施降低交通运输业等分配性服务业的能耗强度。
[Abstract]:Carbon emissions increased gradually is an inevitable result of the rise of the regional economy characterized by industrialization. The theory research shows that the industry association reflects the level of industrial diversification and specialization in the process of regional development level, compared to the industrial structure, indication industry association level on the level of regional economic development more deeply. So, the law of industrial evolution correlation effect on the characteristics and trends of carbon emissions will be more close to the carbon emissions in economic development driven. Therefore, the 27 EU input-output data, based on estimates of industry correlation among different types of manufacturing and services on the determination of different types of manufacturing the corresponding characteristics of the service industry. Then the application of econometric tools for manufacturing and service industry correlation effect on carbon emission by empirical analysis, the results show that: first, as developed The EU economy, manufacturing industry and service industry as a whole industrial correlation degree has a significant negative effect on carbon emissions; second, the low-end, midrange and high-end manufacturing industry and the corresponding characteristics of the service industry between the types of industry correlation effect of carbon emission was obvious, its strength increased with the level of manufacturing industry upgrade and increased and then decreased; third, high-end manufacturing and production, the industry association to improve the distribution of service industry is to realize the regional carbon emissions peak and an important driving force gradually decreased, but in the end manufacturing industry association and the corresponding characteristics of the service industry to enhance the degree of positive effect of carbon emissions will be higher than the low-end manufacturing industry leading period. Therefore, combining with the development experience of developed economies can be found with regularity evolution characteristics of carbon emissions, and to analyze the industrial relevancy of can provide more practical reference. At present, in In the process of promoting the upgrading of industrial structure, we should vigorously promote the development level of producer services and the level of correlation with manufacturing industry, and take positive measures to reduce the energy consumption intensity of transportation industry and other sub service industries.

【作者单位】：西北工业大学人文与经法学院;南开大学经济学院;北京大学政府管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金青年项目(41601117) 国家重点基础研究发展计划(2012CB955802) 中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(3102016RW008)~~
【分类号】：F414;X22
【正文快照】： 随着全球变暖问题的日益严峻,降低碳排放已逐步成为世界各国需要承担“共同而有差别”的责任和义务[1-3],但人为减少排放无疑将反过来对经济活动产生直接的限制性作用,导致区域损失了在原先没有环境约束时期的部分发展权利[4-5]。与经济利益的直接联系导致以制定减排路线为目

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